UBS analyst Michael Binetti and team warn investors not to get too excited about Urban Outfitters’ (URBN) same-store-sales surprise:
1Q SSS Trending +LSDbut Noisy; Raising Our 1Q SSS Estimate Slightly: We’re raising our 1Q SSS to flat from -1% previously. In its FY16 (Jan-16 end) 10K filing on 3/31,Urban Outfitters reported its 1Q17 (Jan-17 end) SSS are trending +LSD. We believe trends are at the low end of +LSD (likely +1%)and we estimate that the Feb+Mar period gets a +1-1.5pp lift from an extra day vs LY (Unlike most other specialty retailers that report 4-5-4 week quarters,Urban Outfitters is based on a true calendar monthso Leap Yr is incremental). On our math,Urban Outfitters’ underlying trend is likely close to flat in Feb+Mar. April should be a lower volume month in the qtr, but visibility into April trends for the industry is low. An Easter shift into March (vs Easter in April last year) is a headwind to Apriland April weather could be unfavorable YOY (based on comments from our 3/29 weather expert conference call).That said, based on our conversation with the comp any we believe that compares should ease in the back half of April, which could offset other headwinds.
Top Japanese Stocks For 2016: Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.(ALSN)
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc., incorporated on June 22, 2007, and its subsidiaries design and manufacture commercial and defense fully-automatic transmissions. The Company manufactures fully-automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles and medium-and heavy-tactical the United States defense vehicles. The Company operates through manufacture and distribution of fully-automatic transmissions segment. The Company’s transmissions are used in a range of applications, including on-highway trucks (distribution, refuse, construction, fire and emergency), buses (primarily school, transit and hybrid-transit), motorhomes, off-highway vehicles and equipment (energy, mining and construction) and defense vehicles (wheeled and tracked). The Company’s transmissions are sold under the Allison Transmission brand name and remanufactured transmissions are sold under the ReTran brand name. The Company has developed over 100 different models that are used in over 2,500 different vehicle configurations and are compatible with over 500 combinations of engine brands, models and ratings, including diesel, gasoline, natural gas and other alternative fuels.
The Company is a manufacturer of fully-automatic transmissions for the on-highway medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicle market in North America. Its North American on-highway market includes Class 4-5, Class 6-7 and Class 8 straight trucks, conventional transit, shuttle and coach buses, school buses and motorhomes. Class 8 trucks are subdivided into two markets: straight and tractor. The Company sells its transmissions in the North American on-highway market to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). These OEMs, in turn, install the Company’s transmissions in vehicles in which its transmission is either the exclusive transmission available or is specifically requested by end users who are choosing between a manual transmission, an automated manual transmissions (AMT) or a fully-automatic transmission. Off-highway energy applic! ations include hydraulic fracturing equipment, well-stimulation equipment, pumping equipment and well-servicing rigs, which often use a fully-automatic transmission to propel the vehicle and drive auxiliary equipment. It also provides heavy-duty transmissions used in mining trucks, specialty vehicles and construction vehicles. The Company is a manufacturer of fully-automatic transmissions for the commercial vehicle market outside of North America. Within Europe, it serves Western European developed markets, as well as Russian and Eastern European markets, in the refuse, emergency, bus, coach, distribution and utility markets. Off-highway markets in Asia are shared by energy, mining and construction applications.
The Company sells transmissions for medium-and heavy-tactical wheeled vehicle platforms, including the Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles, Armored Security Vehicles, Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Trucks, Heavy Equipment Transporters, Palletized Loadin g Systems, M915 Series Trucks, Medium Tactical Vehicle Replacements and the Logistic Vehicle System Replacement. Additionally, the Company supplies transmissions for the Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Vehicles and the MRAP All-Terrain Vehicle and for the Joint Light Tactical Vehicles, which is the replacement vehicle for Humvee personnel transport. It also supplies tracked vehicle platforms, the Abrams tank and the M113 family of vehicles, which are sold directly to the United States Department of Defense (DOD). Additionally, it sells parts kits to licensees for the production of transmissions for tracked vehicles manufactured outside North America. The Company has network of approximately 1,400 independent distributor and dealer locations to sell, service and support its transmissions.
The Company competes with Ford Motor Company, ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Voith GmbH, BAE Systems plc, Caterpillar, Inc., Twin Disc, Inc., Komatsu, Ltd., Volvo, Danyang Winsta r Auto Parts Co., L-3 Communications Corporation and Renk AG! .
- [By Ben Levisohn]
With a neutral sector rating, we are working on evaluating risks to negative calls, and identifying potential value opportunities. Last week we noted more work might be worthwhile on Wabco Holdings (WBC), Terex, Manitowoc (MTW), and Caterpillar, two of those names have rallied for other reasons but the attractive price made the upside/downside skew up. We remain positive (OW) on Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) & United Rentals. Our and consensus 2017Allison Transmission Holdings estimates have fallen by 2% vs. ~15% for the group, while the shares are down 10% since launch. We continue to see United Rentals as the best value in our group…
Top Japanese Stocks For 2016: Concho Resources Inc.(CXO)
Concho Resources Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Unites States. The companys principal operating areas are located in the Permian Basin of southeast New Mexico and West Texas. As of December 31, 2015, its total estimated proved reserves were 623.5 million barrel of oil equivalent. Concho Resources Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Lear also sees strong “upside potential” forConcho Resources (CXO), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Newfield Exploration (NFX) as well performance improves in the Permian/STACK, and also writes positively on Devon Energy (DVN).
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Our peer group is up an average of 46% over the past 4 weeks in response to a 30% rebound in the 12-month strip NYMEX oil price. Some of the largest gainers include Hold and Sell rated stocks that we would not chase such asDenbury Resources (Sell, +138%), Halcon Resources (HK) (Sell, +147%), Jones Energy (JONE) (Hold, +166%), Rex Energy (REXX) (Sell, +60%), Sanchez Energy (SN) (Hold, +93%), Ultra Petroleum (UPL) (Sell, +61%), andWhiting Petroleum (Hold, +103%), which have outperformed the E&P Index (+32%) over the same time period. Balance sheets and/or well level returns remain challenged for these companies despite improved oil prices. While we believe oil markets should re-balance over the next 12 to 15 months, the recent recovery to $40 could reverse during 2Q16 as bloated inventories continue to rise, new volumes from Iran pressure an oversupplied market, and a highly anticipated decline in non-OPEC supply (especially in the U.S.), is not as steep as expected. The risk of an oil price retracement, which would significantly pressure the recent out-performers, outweighs the upside in these stocks, in our view. However, we are raising our target prices on Buy ratedAnadarko Petroleum ($54 from $48), Concho Resources (CXO) ($120 from $109), Matador Resources (MTDR) ($22 from $21),Noble Energy (NBL) ($40 from $34), SM Energy (SM) ($22 from $15), Rice Energy ($14 from $12), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) ($155 from $135),Continental Resources ($32 from $28), and Parsley Energy (PE) ($24 from $23). We believe our Buy-rated stocks are better positioned to weather challenging oil markets.
5 Best European Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Sphere 3D Corp.(ANY)
Sphere 3D Corp. provides virtualization technologies and data management solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company enables organizations to deploy a combination of public, private, or hybrid cloud strategies through containerized applications, virtual desktops, virtual storage, and physical hyper-converged platforms. It provides G-Series Appliance and G-Series Cloud applications; virtual desktop management software for managing virtual desktop pools on its V3 hyper-converged appliances for virtualized desktop infrastructures; GuardianOS storage software for SnapServer enterprise-grade network attached storage systems; RAINcloud OS storage software for SnapScale clustered scale-out data storage solutions; Snap Enterprise Data Replicator, which provides multi-directional, WAN-optimized replication for SnapServer and SnapScale systems; and AccuGuard, a Windows-based backup and r ecovery data protection software. The company also offers RDX removable disk solutions, which use public cloud providers, including Microsoft and Amazon for data protection; SnapServer network attached storage solution, a platform for primary or nearline storage for integration with Windows, UNIX/Linux, and Macintosh environments; SnapScale clustered network attached storage solutions, which are clustered NAS solutions that enable organizations with rapid or unpredictable data growth to scale capacity and performance; and V3 hyper-converged platform, an appliance for high performance virtual desktop infrastructure. In addition, it offers NEO series tape-based backup and long-term archive solutions, including tape libraries, tape autoloaders, and stand-alone tape drives. The company sells its products through its distributor and reseller network to small and medium enterprises, small and medium businesses, and distributed enterprises. Sphere 3D Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Sphere 3D Corp. (NASDAQ: ANY) is estimated to post a quarterly loss at $0.11 per share on revenue of $22.10 million.
RXi Pharmaceuticals Corp (NASDAQ: RXII) is expected to post a quarterly loss at $0.05 per share.
Top Japanese Stocks For 2016: T-Mobile US, Inc.(TMUS)
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale markets. It also provides wireless devices, such as smartphones, tablets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories, which are manufactured by various suppliers. It offers services, devices, and accessories through its owned and operated retail stores, as well as through its Websites. T-Mobile US, Inc. also sells its devices and accessories to dealers and other third party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party Websites. The company provides its services under the T-Mobile and MetroPCS brands. As of December 31, 2014, it provided services to approximately 55 million customers. T-Mobile US, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.
- [By Kimberly Lankford]
All current and new customers will receive at least one share of T-Mobile stock, and customers who refer new members can receive up to 100 extra shares per year. T-Mobile (TMUS) is currently selling at about $42 per shareup 8.6% over the past year and 24% over the past three yearsbut the gift could make tax filing more difficult. It can complicate your tax situation if you have an otherwise simple tax return, says Laurie Ziegler, an enrolled agent and managing member of Sass Accounting LLC, in Saukville, Wis.