Why all the confidence? Well aside from all these pundits coming out saying there is a 100% chance that we are in a recession or that a recession will start before summer the reason is thatthe data doesn’t show it. You can make up indicators that don’t really make sense either in their construction or their interpretations or you can focus on one relatively narrow segment of the economy but none of that actually means we are entering a recession.
If you want to gauge the probability of a recession it might be helpful to really study the business cycle and how we enter and exit recession as well as how we do not. You then want to build a battery of models to help you interpret what is happening and what is likely to happen going forward. If you do this, and don’t focus on just one indicator, you will be far better off than what most pundits do.
Top India Companies For 2016: Chesapeake Energy Corporation(CHK)
Chesapeake Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) from underground reservoirs in the United States. It operates in two segments, Exploration and Production, and Marketing, Gathering and Compression. The company holds interests in natural gas resource plays, including the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana and East Texas; the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; and the Barnett Shale in the Fort Worth Basin of north-central Texas. It also holds interests in liquids-rich resource plays, such as the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas; the Utica Shale in Ohio and Pennsylvania; the Anadarko Basin in northwestern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle; and the Niobrara Shale in the Powder River Basin in Wyoming. The company owns interests in approximately 43,700 oil and natur al gas wells. As of December 31, 2015, it had estimated proved reserves of 1.504 billion barrels of oil equivalent. The company also provides oil, natural gas, and NGL marketing services comprising commodity price structuring, securing and negotiating gathering, hauling, processing and transportation, contract administration, and nomination services for Chesapeake-operated wells; and marketing services for third-party producers, as well as designs, engineers, fabricates, installs, and sells natural gas compression units, accessories, and equipment used in the production, treatment, and processing of oil and natural gas. Chesapeake Energy Corporation was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Barclays analyst Thomas Driscoll and team argue that Chesapeake Energy (CHK) is still worth just a buck a share despite its better-than-expected earnings and recent asset sales:
Asset sales, a stronger outlook for cash flow and falling debt improve Chesapeakes outlook but do not justify a premium multiple to peers.Chesapeake reported strong Q1 results along with a $470 million asset sale. Chesapeake has now announced $1.2 billion of asset sales this year with only a modest negative impact on production. We estimateChesapeake trades at a 5-10% premium to peer group multiples of mid-cycle debt-adjusted cash flow…
Chesapeaketrades at a debt-adjusted cash flow multiple of 8.5x mid-cycle estimates a 5- 10% premium to peers using market prices for the convertible pref notes. This multiple has fallen sharply as a result of the additional $470 of asset sales that were announced, an increase of ~$700 mm in 2016-2017 cash flow estimates and a 16% increase in 2018 cash flows. If we were to use the face value of the convertible preferreds, the premium rises to 20-25%. While we applaud the progressChesapeake has made, we believe a premium multiple is unwarranted. We are trimming our target multiple to maintain our $1 price target.
Shares of Chesapeake Energy have dropped 4.8% to $5.43 at 1:50 p.m. today, while the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) is little changed at $65.44.
- [By Robert Rapier]
The market has richly rewarded Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) for shifting production from natural gas to liquids — that stock is up 31 percent since joining The Energy Strategist’s Aggressive Portfolio four months ago.
- [By Javier Hasse]
The S&P 500 Index closed up 0.08 percent, with Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), up 8.14 percent on its earnings, and Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE: CHK), up 4.82 percent on rising oil prices, having posted the largest gains.
- [By Paul Ausick]
Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) is up 0.3%, at $26.97 in a 52-week range of $16.23 to $27.29.
EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG) is up 0.7%, at $168.29 in a 52-week range of $107.76 to $168.77. The high was set earlier Thursday morning.
Top India Companies For 2016: Halliburton Company(HAL)
Halliburton Company provides various products and services to the energy industry for the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas worldwide. It operates in two segments, Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment offers production enhancement services, completion tools and services, cementing services, and Boots & Coots. Its production enhancement services include stimulation and sand control services; completion tools and services comprise subsurface safety valves and flow control equipment, surface safety systems, packers and specialty completion equipment, intelligent completion systems, expandable liner hanger systems, sand control systems, well servicing tools, and reservoir performance services; cementing services consist of bonding the well and well casing, while isolating fluid zones and maximizing wellbore stability, and casing equipment; and Boots & Coots include well intervention services , pressure control, equipment rental tools and services, and pipeline and process services. The Drilling and Evaluation segment provides field and reservoir modeling, drilling, evaluation, and wellbore placement solutions that enable customers to model, measure, and optimize their well construction activities. Its services comprise fluid services, drilling services, drill bits, wireline and perforating services, testing and subsea services, software and asset solutions, and integrated project management and consulting services. The company serves independent, integrated, and national oil companies. Halliburton Company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
FBR’s Thomas Curran and Mark Kelley contend that Halliburton (HAL) and Baker Hughes (BHI) will need General Electric’s (GE) help if their merger–blocked yesterday by the Department of Justice–is to succeed:
Confirming the past week’s media reports, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced yesterday, April 6, that it will sue to block the Halliburton-Baker Hughes merger. Based on our initial take, the crux of the DOJ’s objection is that Halliburton’s proposal does not create an adequate replacement for Baker Hughes. In an immediate press release,Halliburton replied that the two companies will “vigorously contest” the DOJ’s case; and, as both stocks rose in an oil price surgefueled group rally, the spread actually narrowed modestly. We suspect the spread’s move from $18.17 (implied gross return of 46.2%) to $16.98 (39.7%) reflected surprise by some thatHalliburton believes it still has a case. Cognizant of the now much lower odds of closing, we still like BHI’s risk/reward here: Should the deal fail, it will benefit from the $3.5B breakup fee, with the ability to fully implement restructuring initiatives that have bee n constrained by the merger agreement ($100M in 4Q15, or 300 bps of margin) and a spreading perception that it is back in play; should the deal succeed, the stock will deliver a 40% return, all else constant, within three to four months…
Any “Hail Mary” solution still likely relies on GE Oil & Gas (GE). Based on the trail of evidence to date, we presume the “prospective buyer” that Halliburton has had “lengthy discussions” with is General Electric. We have long held that, should the deal succeed, it will be because General Electric agrees to buy most, if not all, of the assets; we believe the DOJ’s complaint reinforces this view.
Shares of Halliburton have dropped 1.2% to $36
Top 10 Blue Chip Stocks To Watch For 2016: Retail Properties of America, Inc.(RPAI)
Retail Properties of America, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. It engages in acquisition, development and management of properties. The trust invests in the real estate markets of United States. Its portfolio consists of retail properties, including lifestyle, power, neighborhood, and community centers, in addition to single-user net lease properties. The firm was formerly known as Inland Western Retail Real Estate Trust, Inc. Retail Properties of America, Inc. is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.
- [By Ant贸nio Costa]
Retail Properties of America Inc (NYSE: RPAI) has been in an impressive rebound since the lows of August and the stock price action continues to become Bullish. However, RPAI has run into the downtrend line resistance again and this could lead to a brief period of sideways consolidation or price correction from current levels. On watch.
Top India Companies For 2016: Core-Mark Holding Company Inc.(CORE)
Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, markets fresh and broad-line supply solutions to the convenience retail industry in the United States and Canada. It provides various products, including cigarettes, other tobacco products, candy, snacks, fast food, groceries, fresh products, dairy, bread, beverages, general merchandise, and health and beauty care products; marketing programs; and technology solutions. The company distributes its products to traditional convenience stores, grocery stores, drug stores, liquor stores, and other specialty and small format stores that carry convenience products through a network of 26 distribution centers. Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. (NASDAQ: CORE) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.27 per share on revenue of $2.92 billion.
Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.86 per share on revenue of $814.80 million.