Citigroup’s Kate McShane and team ask if the bull markets in Nike (NKE) andUnder Armour (UA) are over. Their answer: No. They explain why:
Since their respective analyst days last fall (Under Armour – Sept; Nike – Oct),Under Armour and Nike stocks are down ~17% and 5%, respectively. The pullback in both names appears to be driven primarily by rich multiples and concerns over potentially slower top-line growth over the next several quarters.
Key concerns on Nike include: 1) Nike reported 10% NA futures (400bps deceleration from the prior qtr), 2) Higher NA inventories taking several qtrs to work through, 3) Health of the basketball category, given increased competition at a lower price pt.
Why We are Still at a Buy While we acknowledge that not everything is humming along as it once was at Nike, recent concerns do not necessarily derail the LT thesis or multiple, in our view, given: 1) Historically, Nikes valuation has been most correlated to global revenue growth. While NA is ~40% of total revs, the category is still growing at a healthy +DD rate, w/ the rest of the world benefitting from still being in the early stages of category offense, 2) Our checks indicate that the piece of Nikes basketball business that is underperforming is their marquee product (i.e. Kobe, KD, LeBron). However we estimate this comprises a ~$750M business on a base of $32B. We would have to see a meaningful decline in this business in order to slow overall company growth (also, newer product like Kobe 11 & Kyrie 2 are performing well). Further, the basketball category overall has slowed from 15% to 9% growth. While slower, the growth rate remains strong, esp consideri ng the comps. Our conversations w/ industry contacts indicate a solid pipeline and contd strength in Jordan & other non-marquee styles.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(REGN)
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, invents, develops, manufactures, and commercializes medicines for the treatment of serious medical conditions worldwide. Its marketed products include EYLEA injection for the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and macular edema; ZALTRAP, an injection for intravenous infusion for the treatment of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer; and ARCALYST, an injection for subcutaneous use for the treatment of cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes comprising familial cold auto-inflammatory syndrome and muckle-wells syndrome in adults and children. The companys trap-based clinical product candidates comprise EYLEA for the treatment of AMD and diabetic macular edema; and ZALTRAP for oncology. Its antibody-based clinical programs include various human monoclonal antibody product candidates, such as REGN727 for low-density lipopro tein cholesterol reduction and for the prevention of cardiovascular events; REGN88 for rheumatoid arthritis and non-infectious uveitis; REGN668 for atopic dermatitis, asthma, nasal polyposis, and eosinophilic esophagitis; REGN2222 for respiratory syncytial virus; REGN1033 for skeletal muscle disorders; and REGN2176-3 and REGN910-3 antibodies for use in ophthalmology. The company is also developing REGN1908-1909, REGN1154, REGN1500, and REGN1193 antibody product candidates; REGN1400, REGN1979, and REGN2810 for oncology; and REGN475 for the treatment of pain. It has collaborations with Sanofi and Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation; license and collaboration agreement with Bayer HealthCare; and Avalanche Biotechnologies, Inc., as well as Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tarrytown, New York.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) lost a patent case with Amgen (AMGN) and now a judge will have to make a decision regarding an injunction on sales of Praluent. Citigroup’s Robyn Karnauskas and Mohit Bansal provide and update:
We spoke to Regeneron regarding the timelines of the injunction decision in the PCSK9 patent case and the company noted that the Judges opinion could come in 3-4 months. The hearing on injunction took place last week and the Judge now will have to form an opinion based on the hearing. This typically takes 3-4 months to get the opinion per the company.
This makes Dupilumab phase 3 data in Atopic Dermatitis next important catalyst. As we noted before, we see $25/sh upside on positive data and $50-$60/sh downside on negative data. Investors are concerned that overhang due to the patent case could limit the upside with Dupilumab phase 3 data. Regeneron has said Dupilumab data would come in 1H16 while Sanofi (SNY) has said SOLO-1/2 data will readout in Q116 while CRONOS will readout in Q216.
Shares of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals have gained 1.3% to $368.55 at 2:40 p.m. today, while Amgen has advanced 0.6% to $149.36, and Sanofi has climbed 2.8% to $39.84.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) has dropped 1.5% to $407.65 after getting cut to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo.
Boeing (BA) has fallen 2.2% to $129.80 after BofA Merrill Lynch cut the airline manufacturer to Underperform from Neutral.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
As biotech stocks like Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN), BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN), Incyte (INCY), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) and Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) get ready to report earnings, Piper Jaffray’s Joshua Schimmer and team write that they “would not be surprised to see the volatility continue.” They explain why:
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Newell Rubbermaid Inc.(NWL)
Newell Brands Inc. designs, manufactures or sources, and distributes consumer and commercial products worldwide. The companys Writing segment offers writing instruments, including markers and highlighters, pens, and pencils; art products; activity-based adhesive and cutting products; fine writing instruments; and labeling solutions under the Sharpie, Paper Mate, Expo, Prismacolor, Mr. Sketch, Elmer’s, X-Acto, Parker, Waterman, and Dymo Office brands. Its Home Solutions segment provides indoor/outdoor organization, food storage, and home storage products; durable beverage containers; gourmet cookware, bakeware, and cutlery; window treatments; and hair care accessories under the Rubbermaid, Contigo, Bubba, Calphalon, Levolor, and Goody brands. The companys Tools segment offers hand and power tool accessories; industrial band saw blades; tools for HVAC systems; and industrial label makers and printers under the Irwin, Lenox, Hilmor, and Dymo Industrial brands. Its Commercial Products segment designs, manufactures or sources, and distributes cleaning and refuse products, hygiene systems, and material handling solutions under the Rubbermaid Commercial Products brand names. The companys Baby & Parenting segment offers infant and juvenile products, such as car seats, strollers, highchairs, and playards directly under the Graco, Baby Jogger, Aprica, and Teutonia brands. The company sells its products through distributors and directly to mass merchants, warehouse clubs, grocery/drug stores, office superstores, office supply stores, and contract stationers, as well as travel retail, on-line, and other retailers; and specialty and department stores, home centers, industrial/construction outlets, commercial products distributors, contract customers, and other professional customers. The company was formerly known as Newell Rubbermaid Inc. and changed its name to Newell Brands Inc. in April 2016. Newell Brands Inc. was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Atl! anta, Georgia.
- [By Shauna O’Brien]
Newell Rubbermaid Inc. (NWL) announced on Wednesday that it has finalized the sale of its Hardware business.
The sale, which was first reported on August 9, was completed on Wednesday. Nova Capital has acquired NWL’s Hardware business which includes the Amerock, Ashland, Bulldog and Shur-Line brands.
NWL will receive approximately $175 million in after-tax proceeds from the sale.
Newell Rubbermaid shares were mostly flat during pre-market trading Wednesday. The stock has increased 18% YTD.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
On a market cap weighted basis,Wal-Mart trades at a discount to the average of a group of large-cap consumer staples companies (Coca-Cola (KO), PepsiCo (PEP), Newell Brands (NWL), Procter & Gamble (PG), and Colgate-Palmolive (CL) – covered by Morgan Stanley Analyst Dara Mohsenian). Wal-Mart’s FTM relative P/E multiple is currently 0.76x vs. the 0.89x average over the last 15 years.
Top 10 Food Stocks To Watch Right Now: Cellcom Israel Ltd.(CEL)
Cellcom Israel Ltd. provides cellular communications services in Israel. It offers basic and advanced cellular telephone services, text and multimedia messaging services, and advanced cellular content and data services. The company?s basic cellular telephony services include voice mail, cellular fax, call waiting, call forwarding, caller identification, collect call, conference calling, ?Talk 2?, additional number services, and collect call services; and outbound and inbound roaming services. It also provides value-added services comprising Cellcom volume that includes downloadable content, such as music, games, on-net-reality programs, drama series, and video games; SMS and MMS services to send and receive text, photos, multimedia, and animation messages; access to third party application providers for notification of roadway speed detectors, mange vehicle fleets, and enable subscribers to manage and operate time clocks and various controllers for industrial, agricultural , and commercial purposes; video calls to communicate with each other through video applications; zone services for calls initiated from a specific location; location-based services; voice-based information services; text-based information services and interactive information services, including news headlines, sports results, and traffic and weather reports; and data services to access handsets, cellular modems, laptops, tablets, and cellular routers, as well as Internet based payment services. In addition, the company sells handsets, modems, routers, tablets, and laptops, as well as provides repair and replacement services; and offers landline telephony, transmission, and data services through its approximately 1,500 kilometers of inland fiber-optic infrastructure and complementary microwave links to selected business customers. As of March 31, 2011, it provided its services to approximately 3.395 million subscribers. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered i n Netanya, Israel.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Cellcom Israel Ltd. (NYSE: CEL) is estimated to post its earnings for the latest quarter.
Quotient Ltd (NASDAQ: QTNT) is projected to post a quarterly loss at $0.59 per share on revenue of $4.75 million.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Clean Energy Fuels Corp.(CLNE)
Clean Energy Fuels Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides natural gas as an alternative fuel for vehicle fleets in the United States and Canada. The company designs, builds, operates, and maintains fueling stations, as well as supplies compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) fuel for medium and heavy-duty vehicles. Its CNG is used in automobiles, light to medium-duty vehicles, refuse trucks, and transit buses as an alternative to gasoline and diesel. The company also sells non-lubricated natural gas compressors and related equipment used in CNG and LNG stations; and produces renewable natural gas, which is used as vehicle fuel or sold for power generation. In addition, it offers vehicle finance services for the purchase of natural gas vehicles, as well as for the conversion of gasoline or diesel powered vehicles to operate on natural gas. Further, the company provides natural gas conversions, alternative fuel systems, application engineering, service and warranty support, and research and development services for natural gas vehicles. As of December 31, 2011, it served approximately 530 fleet customers with approximately 25,000 natural gas vehicles; and owned, operated, or supplied 273 natural gas fueling stations in 23 states within the United States, and British Columbia and Ontario within Canada, as well as in Peru. Clean Energy Fuels Corp. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Seal Beach, California.
- [By Michael Vodicka]
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) designs, builds and operates natural gas filling stations in the United States. The company supplies compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG), serving a fleet of 650 customers, more than 32,000 natural-gas vehicles while owning or supplying more than 350 filling stations in 32 states.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: RXI Pharmaceuticals Corporation(RXII)
RXi Pharmaceuticals Corporation, a biotechnology company, focuses on discovering and developing therapies primarily in the areas of dermatology and ophthalmology. The company develops therapies based on siRNA technology and immunotherapy agents. Its clinical development programs include RXI-109, a self-delivering RNAi compound, which is in Phase IIa clinical trial that is used to prevent or reduce dermal scarring following surgery or trauma, as well as for the management of hypertrophic scars and keloids; and Samcyprone, an immunomodulation agent, which is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of various disorders, such as alopecia areata, warts, and cutaneous metastases of melanoma. The companys preclinical program includes the development of products for ocular indications with RXI-109, including retinal and corneal scarring. Its discovery stage development programs include a dermatology franchise for the discovery of collagenase and tyrosinase targets for its RNAi platform; and ophthalmology franchise, a program for the discovery of sd-rxRNA compounds for oncology indications, including retinoblastoma. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.
- [By Monica Gerson]
RXi Pharmaceuticals Corp (NASDAQ: RXII) is expected to post a quarterly loss at $0.05 per share.
InterOil Corporation (USA) (NYSE: IOC) is estimated to report a quarterly loss at $0.25 per share on revenue of $1.10 million.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: East West Bancorp Inc.(EWBC)
East West Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for East West Bank, which provides a range of personal and commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, business executives, professionals, and other individuals in California. It offers various deposit products, including personal and business checking and savings accounts, time deposits and individual retirement accounts, travelers? checks, safe deposit boxes, and MasterCard and Visa merchant deposit services. The company?s lending activities include commercial, multifamily residential real estate, trade finance, accounts receivable, small business administration, inventory, and working capital loans, as well as commercial real estate, construction, and single-family residential real estate loans. In addition, it provides financing to facilitate its clients? business transactions between Asia and the United States. Further, the company, through its other subsidiary, East West Insurance Servic es , Inc., offers business and consumer insurance services to the southern California market. As of October 19, 2011, it operated through a network of 130 locations worldwide. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
The twenty stocks in Worth’s basket are: Ameriprise Financial (AMP) Bank of America, Banner (BANR), Citigroup, Citizens Financial Group (CFG), East West Bancorp (EWBC), First NBC Bank Holding (FNBC), HFF (HF), KeyCorp(KEY), Legacy Texas Financial Group (LTXB), Lincoln National (LNC), Morgan Stanley, Old National Bancorp (ONB), PacWest Bancorp (PACW), PNC Financial Services Group (PNC), Principal Financial Group (PFG), Stifel Financial (SF), SVB Financial Group (SIVB), TCF Financial (TCB), and Wells Fargo.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Pound/Rand(PX)
Praxair, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and sale atmospheric and process gases, as well as surface coatings in North America, Europe, South America, and Asia. The company offers atmospheric gases, such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases comprising carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. It also designs, engineers, and builds equipment that produces industrial gases; and manufactures precious metal and ceramic sputtering targets used primarily in the production of semiconductors. In addition, the company supplies surface coatings consisting of wear-resistant and high-temperature corrosion-resistant metallic and ceramic coatings and powders to the aircraft, energy, printing, textile, plastics, primary metals, petrochemical, and other industries. Further, it provides electric arc, plasma, and oxygen fuel spray equipment, as well as arc and flame wire equipment used for the application of wea r-resistant coatings; and distributes welding equipment purchased from independent manufacturers. The company sells its products primarily through independent distributors. It serves various industries, such as healthcare, petroleum refining, computer-chip manufacturing, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment industries. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
The last twelve months haven’t been kind to Praxair (PX) and Air Products & Chemicals (APD), but UBS analyst John Roberts and team argue that’s about to change, as they upgrade their shares to Buy from Neutral arguing that their earnings can withstand a slowing global economy:
In our view, the two stocks are more alike than different. NTM P/Es are within ~0.5 pts of each other. Both stocks have declined ~20% from their historical highs the largest corrections in 20+ years aside from the financial crisis…
Industrial gas stocks have normally grown through changes in FX, oil & China demand within normal historical ranges. And investor concerns around China forAir Products & Chemicals may still prove much bigger than reality. Nevertheless, the combination of FX & oil sector impacts on Praxair, and FX & China issues for Air Products & Chemicals, have been much larger than previously seen. With oil already down, the dollar already appreciated, & China concerns already heightened we believe forward basis would appear to carry only normal risks (& lower if FX & oil are mean-reverting, which some theories support).
Normal high single digit EPS growth projected for both in 2017 vs 2016: Four large firms serve 70%+ of the global merchant gas market, and price normally contributes ~2% to growth. Customer older captive units being outsourced contributes another 2%. Secular drivers for oxygen include energy savings (i.e. O2 burns more efficiently than air), life sciences (healthcare & microbial processes) nitrogen secular drivers include increasing purity requirements (food freezing & semiconductors). Topline growth ~2x global GDP more normal, with EPS growth ~2x sales growth due to high fixed costs (key variable costs are inexpensive air & power).
Financial crisis demand drop was only a few %, in line with global GDP drop Most chemicals volumes dropped 10%+ (some 40%
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Hooker Furniture Corporation(HOFT)
Hooker Furniture Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, imports, and markets residential wood, metal, and upholstered furniture products in North America. The company offers wood furniture products, including home entertainment, home office, accent, dining, bedroom, and bath furniture in the upper-medium price points sold under the Hooker Furniture brand, and sold at moderate price points under the Envision Lifestyle Collections by Hooker Furniture brand. It also provides youth bedroom furniture under the Opus Designs by Hooker brand; and motion and stationary leather furniture. In addition, the company offers various residential leather and fabric upholstered furniture under the Bradington-Young and Seven Seas upholstery brand; specializes in leather reclining and motion chairs, sofas, club chairs, and executive desk chairs; and offers upscale occasional chairs and other seating under the Sam Moore upholstery brand. It serves retailers of resident ial home furnishings, including independent furniture stores, specialty retailers, department stores, catalog and Internet merchants, interior designers, and national and regional retail chains. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Martinsville, Virginia.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Hooker Furniture Corporation (NASDAQ: HOFT) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.40 per share on revenue of $62.20 million.
SeaChange International (NASDAQ: SEAC) is projected to post its quarterly earnings at $0.01 per share on revenue of $30.49 million.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Western Union Company (The)(WU)
The Western Union Company provides money movement and payment services worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Consumer-to-Consumer, Consumer-to-Business, and Business Solutions. The Consumer-to-Consumer segment offers money transfer services. This segment provides various options for sending funds, including walk-in and online money transfer, as well as account based money transfer services through a network of third-party agents using multi-currency and real-time money transfer processing systems. The Consumer-to-Business segment offers options to make one-time or recurring payments from consumers to businesses and other organizations, including utilities, auto finance companies, mortgage servicers, financial service providers, government agencies, and other businesses. It also provides various products, which provide consumers choices as to the payment channel and method of payment, including Speedpay, Pago F谩ci l, and Western Union Payments. This segment offers its services primarily through the phone and Online, as well as through its agent networks and selected company-owned locations. The Business Solutions segment facilitates payment and foreign exchange solutions, primarily cross-border and cross-currency transactions for small and medium size enterprises and other organizations, as well as for individuals. This segment provides its services through the phone, partner channels, and the Internet. As of December 31, 2015, the company had a network of approximately 500,000 agent locations in approximately 200 countries and territories. The Western Union Company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
- [By Shauna O’Brien]
Sterne Agee announced on Monday that it has upgraded payment services company The Western Union Company (WU).
The firm has raised its rating on WU from “Neutral” to “Buy,” and has given the company a $22 price target. This price target suggests a 16% upside from the stock’s current price of $18.41.
Analysts see momentum building as the company transitions.
Western Union shares were up 46 cents, or 2.50%, during pre-market trading Monday. The stock is up 35% YTD.
Top 10 Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Westar Energy, Inc.(WR)
Westar Energy, Inc. (Westar Energy), incorporated on March 6, 1924, is an electric utility in Kansas. The Company provides electric generation, transmission and distribution services to approximately 700,000 customers in Kansas. The Company provides these services in central and northeastern Kansas, including the cities of Topeka, Lawrence, Manhattan, Salina and Hutchinson. Kansas Gas and Electric Company (KGE), Westar Energy’s subsidiary, provides the services in south-central and southeastern Kansas, including the city of Wichita. Both Westar Energy and KGE conduct business using the name Westar Energy. The Company supplies electric energy at retail to customers in Kansas. The Company also supplies electric energy at wholesale to municipalities and electric cooperatives in Kansas, and has contracts for the sale or purchase of wholesale electricity with other utilities. The Company classifies it customers as residential, commercial and industrial. It has approximately 6,2 70 megawatts (MW) of generating capacity in service.
Fossil Fuel Generation
The three coal-fired units at Jeffrey energy center have an aggregate capacity of approximately 2,150 MW, of which the Company owns or consolidate through a variable interest entity (VIE) a combined share, or over 1,970 MW. The two coal-fired units at La Cygne Generating Station (La Cygne) have an aggregate generating capacity of approximately 1,400 MW, of which the Company owns or consolidate, through a VIE. La Cygne uses primarily Powder River Basin (PRB) coal but one of the two units also uses a small portion of locally mined coal. Lawrence and Tecumseh Energy Centers have an aggregate generating capacity of approximately 540 MW.
The Company uses natural gas as a primary fuel at its Gordon Evans, Murray Gill, Hutchinson, Spring Creek and Emporia Energy Centers and at the State Line facility. The Company also uses natural gas as a supp lemental fuel in the coal-fired units at Lawrence and Tecums! eh Energy Centers.
The Company uses diesel to start some of its coal generating stations, as a primary fuel in the Hutchinson No. 4 combustion turbine and in its diesel generators. The Company also purchases No. 2 diesel in the spot market.
Wolf Creek is approximately 1,170 MW nuclear power plant located near Burlington, Kansas. KGE owns an interest in Wolf Creek, or approximately 550 MW.
The Company owns approximately 150 MW of designed installed wind capacity. Also of the approximately 1,310 MW of wind power under contract, the Company has over 910 MW in operation.
- [By Lisa Levin]
On Thursday, utilities shares rose by 0.02 percent. Top gainers in the sector included Westar Energy Inc (NYSE: WR), Westar Energy Inc (NYSE: AT), and NRG Energy Inc (NYSE: NRG).