Tag Archives: DOW

3 Things You Need To Know About The Soaring Greenback

The U.S. dollar has exploded, forcing stock investors to pay attention.

The strength or weakness of the currency can have tremendous influence over stock prices, making it critical for investors to understand the correlation.

Market prices are influenced — both positively and negatively — depending on the sector and direction of the U.S. dollar. A strong dollar benefits some industries while hurting others. Right now, the USD is on its way back up.

After 2017 was spent in an aggressive downward trend, the greenback bottomed in January 2018, proceeding to build a technical price base for the next 12-plus weeks. At the start of April 2018, the currency started to tick higher until technical resistance at both the 50 and 200-day simple moving averages were broken on the upside. Now, with the support of both major moving averages, there is little doubt that a substantial uptrend has been established.

I have little doubt that the greenback’s climb will continue for the rest of 2018 at a minimum. The combined factors of upside technical price momentum, advancing interest rates, and improving economy provide little choice for the U.S. currency to do anything but gain strength.

Now that we have established that the dollar should continue higher, how does dollar strength affect the stock market?

Well, the truth is, studies have shown that strength or weakness in the greenback has a minimal effect on the overall stock market.

Barclay’s published a report that compared the S&P 500 performance in both healthy and weak dollar regimes. It discovered that there is little to no correlation between index performance and a climbing or falling greenback. “What?!,” I can hear you say, “why this article if there is no greenback effect on stock prices?”

Dollar strength or weakness does have a significant effect on specific market sectors. Here’s what every investor needs to know:

1. Commodity Prices Are Correlated
There is a strong correlation between dollar strength and commodity prices.

This means that stocks in the energy and material sectors can suffer from a stronger greenback. Reason being that as the greenback gains strength, it makes commodities more expensive. Costlier commodities result in increased costs for companies leading to decreased earnings.

Investors need to exercise caution to hold energy company shares like Chevron (NYSE: CVX), as well as basic material companies like Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) and Alcoa (NYSE: AA). Also, ETFs representing the energy or basic material sectors need to be reevaluated during periods of the U.S. dollar moving higher.
At the same time, these companies and sectors often thrive during weakness in the greenback.

2. Multi-Nationals Suffer From Dollar Strength
Companies that create substantial earnings in foreign currencies suffer when the greenback pushes higher. The reason being is the fact that when the foreign currency is converted into stronger U.S. dollars it losses value. When the U.S. dollar is weak, the opposite occurs, improving the multi-national’s bottom line.

Companies sometimes rush to mitigate the damage caused by currency conversion by lowering their earnings expectations in anticipation of a stronger U.S. dollar. The lowering of earnings expectations, in turn, results in bearish pressure on the shares.

However, earnings are expected to continue to grow in 2018, and the S&P 500 has been upward trending since the start of April. In fact, the index just broke above resistance at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 200-day SMA has served as solid support.

It is important to note that the percentage of S&P 500 earnings arising from foreign sales is in the low 40% range. While still very significant, it marks the lowest rate of foreign-derived sales since the early 2000s.

Despite the lowered foreign sales percentage, should the greenback continue to climb, I expect the overall S&P 500 to feel downward pressure. The bearish weight will be most significant in large multi-nationals who earn substantial profits overseas. Consider lightening your holdings in these stocks.

3. Financials And Consumer Stocks May Benefit
A strong dollar is not sorry for every sector. A strong dollar usually means a healthy economy indicating greater domestic economic activity. Greater activity leads to more consumer spending at home which lifts the earnings of consumer stocks.

Also, a climbing greenback goes hand in hand with higher interest rates, which help a financial firm’s bottom line.

Not to mention, history shows that health care and utility shares often outperform during bullish greenback time periods.

Risks To Consider: While things look utterly bullish for the U.S. dollar; no one knows if the greenback will continue higher. All we can do is make an educated guess as to future direction. Always use stops and position size wisely when investing!

Action To Take: Consider the impact of a stronger U.S. dollar when making investment decisions.

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Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now

Stocks will open lower this morning as oil continued to fall, and shares ofExxonMobil (XOM) andBP (BP) head lower following earnings reports.

sanjeev gupta/European Pressphoto Agency

S&P 500 futures have dropped 0.8%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures have fallen 0.8%. Nasdaq Composite futures have declined 0.8%. Oil has dropped 4% to $30.37 a barre.

Mattel (MAT) has climbed 7% to $28.62 after the toy company reported its first quarterly revenue gain in more than two years.

Dow Chemical (DOW) has gained 2.8% to $43.79 after the chemical company beat earnings and revenue forecasts.

Michael Kors (KORS) has soared 19% to $48.20 after the beaten down purveyor of purses and other accessories reported earnings that beat the Street consensus.

ExxonMobil (XOM) has fallen 1.9% to $74.81 even though the oil giant beat earnings forecasts, as BP’s (BP) reported a monster loss that has put a damper on the entire industry. BP has tumbled 8.3% top $29.07.

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Jabil Circuit Inc.(JBL)

Jabil Circuit, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides electronic manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. The company offers electronics and mechanical design, production, product management, and after-market services to companies in the aerospace, automotive, computing, consumer, defense, industrial, instrumentation, medical, networking, peripherals, solar, storage, and telecommunications industries. Its services comprise integrated design and engineering; component selection, sourcing, and procurement; automated assembly; design and implementation of product testing; parallel global production; enclosure services; and systems assembly, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. The company also provides set-top boxes, mobility products, and display products, as well as peripheral products, such as printers and point of sale terminals; and aftermarket services consisting of warranty and repair services. Jabil Circuit, Inc. was founded in 196 6 and is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Amber Hestla, Michael J. Carr]

    Another Apple supplier to consider is Jabil Circuit (NYSE: JBL), a company that offers a number of manufacturing services to customers in the technology sector.

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Packaging Corporation of America(PKG)

Packaging Corporation of America produces and sells containerboard and corrugated products in the United States. Its corrugated packaging products, include conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; and multi-color boxes and displays with strong that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations. The company also offers meat boxes and wax-coated boxes for the agricultural industry. Packaging Corporation sells its products through direct sales and marketing organization. The company was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Stocks on the move: Boise Inc. (NYSE: BZ) is up 26% at $12.55 following the companys acquisition by Packaging Corporation of America Inc. (NYSE: PKG) for $12.55 a share ($1.28 billion). Omeros Corp. (NASDAQ: OMER) is up 68.2% at $8.56 following an analyst upgrade. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSEArca: NAK) is down 33.3% at $1.48 following an announcement from Anglo American plc that it was withdrawing from a massive copper mining project in Alaska.

  • [By David Sterman]

    That was precisely the rationale behind Packaging Corp. of America's (NYSE: PKG) just-announced $2 billion (in cash and assumed debt) acquisition of rival Boise (NYSE: BZ). The deal will create a $6 billion (in sales) behemoth in the cardboard box industry.

Top 5 Medical Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Novo Nordisk A/S(NVO)

 

Novo Nordisk A/S, a healthcare company, engages in the discovery, development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutical products worldwide. It operates in two segments, Diabetes Care and Biopharmaceuticals. The Diabetes Care segment covers insulins, GLP-1 analog, obesity, and oral antidiabetic drugs, as well as other protein related products comprising glucagon, protein related delivery systems, and needles. The Biopharmaceuticals segment offers products in the areas of haemophilia care, growth hormone therapy, and hormone replacement therapy. The company markets and distributes its products through its subsidiaries, distributors, and independent agents. Novo Nordisk A/S has a collaboration agreement with the Langer Laboratory for the development of next-generation drug delivery devices; and collaboration and licensing agreement with Ablynx nv to discover and develop novel multi-specific Nanobody drug candidates. The compa ny was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Charles Carlson, CEO and Portfolio Manager, Horizon Investment Services]

    For investors looking for growth but also income, I especially like three health-care related stocksFresenius Medical (FMS), Novo Nordisk (NVO), and Smith & Nephew (SNN).

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Emerson Electric Company(EMR)

Emerson Electric Co. operates as a diversified manufacturing and technology company. The company engages in appliance solutions, climate technologies, industrial automation, motor technology, network power, process management, professional tools, and storage solutions businesses. Its appliance solutions business provides appliance controls, appliance motors, heating products, and white-rodgers; climate technology business provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) solutions for residential, industrial, and commercial applications; and industrial automation business offers bearings and power transmission products, electrical power generation products, electric motors, variable speed drives and servos, electrical products, material joining solutions, fluid automation products, and wind turbine systems. The company?s motor technology business provides appliance motors, HVACR motors, DC motors, fractional horsepower motors, integral horsepower a nd larger motors, and drives; network power business provides power, precision cooling, connectivity, and embedded solutions; and process management business provides various wireless related products from self-organizing field networks to wireless asset and people tracking. Its professional tools business offers pipe working and threading equipment, pressing technology, utility locating and visual diagnostics systems, drain maintenance tools, power tools, air tools, general purpose hand tools, wet/dry vacs, job site storage equipment, truck tool boxes and equipment, and van storage equipment; and storage solutions business provides shelving and storage products for residential, commercial, and foodservice needs, as well as offers specialized carts, mobile computer workstations, and cabinet fixtures. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Rising Dividend Investing]

    Pent Up Demand Pushing Cyclical Stocks

    We are coming out of a lengthy period of decreased spending in the wake of 2008-09, which has built pent up demand for automobiles, housing and capital expenditures. The average age of vehicles on the road has reached a record high of 11.4 years. Demand for new houses fell off dramatically since the Great Recession. The average U.S. home was built in 1974 and continues to age.
    As people have chosen to fix rather than replace their vehicles and homes, we’ve seen the replacement-type industries do very well. Auto Retail’s second quarter sales and earnings per share were up 14.7% and 18.6%, respectively. Home improvement retail grew sales nearly 10% with earnings up 20% from second quarter 2012.
    Adding to the pent up demand for housing is the number of young people living with their parents rather than buying or renting on their own. According to real-estate marketplace Trulia, the number of “missing hou seholds” (Americans who would currently be owning or renting a home if pre-recession economic trends had continued) was up to 2.4 million in March. More than half of these missing households are 18 to 34-year-olds.
    This pent up demand extends beyond just the immediate products being bought by consumers. Businesses have held off replacing durable goods since the recession. All of this excess demand will have to be released at some point. Eventually, these homes and vehicles will exceed their useful life and need to be replaced. To meet the need for the excess demand, companies will not be able to hold off re-investing in new plant equipment.
    We’ve seen the beginning of this demand in 2013 and believe there is more to come. The market is buying into this as well, as more growth and manufacturing oriented sectors – such as Consumer Discretionary and Industrials – have performed well over the near-term.
    Share prices for stocks in the Indu strial sectors are mo

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: AAON Inc.(AAON)

AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of air conditioning and heating equipment primarily in the United States and Canada. The company offers rooftop units, chillers, air-handling units, make-up air units, heat recovery units, condensing units, commercial self contained units, and coils. It serves the commercial and industrial new construction and replacement markets. AAON, Inc. sells its products through manufacturers representatives and internal sales force. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Jonas Elmerraji]

    We’re seeing the exact same setup in shares of small-cap HVAC firm Aaon (AAON). The biggest difference is that in AAON’s case, the ascending triangle pattern is coming in at the top of this stock’s recent price action, not at the bottom. That makes this a more textbook trade for September.

    Another important difference is the fact that AAON hasn’t triggered yet. Shares have been coiling below $26 resistance since the middle of the summer; a breakout above that $26 level is the indicator that it’s time to buy. Whenever you’re looking at any technical price pattern, it’s critical to think in terms of buyers and sellers. Triangles and other price pattern names are a good quick way to explain what’s going on in this stock, but they’re not the reason it’s tradable. Instead, it all comes down to supply and demand for shares.

    That resistance line at $26 is a price where there’s an excess of supply of shares; in other words, it’s a place where sellers have been more eager to take recent gains and sell their shares than buyers have been to buy. That’s what makes the move above it so significant — a breakout indicates that buyers are finally strong enough to absorb all of the excess supply above that price level.

    Wait for that to happen before you put your money on this trade.

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: American International Group Inc.(AIG)

American International Group, Inc. is an international insurance organization. The company operates property and casualty insurance networks worldwide and conducts activities in the U.S. life insurance and retirement services industry. It also involves in commercial aircraft leasing and residential mortgage guaranty insurance businesses. The company, through Chartis Inc., provides various property and casualty insurance products under commercial and consumer categories worldwide. These products include surplus lines, executive liability/directors? and officers? liability, employment practices, excess casualty, and travel/assistance lines. American International Group, through SunAmerica Financial Group, offers a suite of life insurance and retirement products and services, including term life, universal life, accident and health, fixed and variable deferred annuities, fixed payout annuities, mutual funds, and financial planning products and services to individuals and grou ps in the United States. The company, through International Lease Finance Corporation, operates as an aircraft lessor that acquires commercial jet aircraft from various manufacturers and other parties, and leases those aircraft to airlines worldwide. It also sells aircraft from its fleet to other leasing companies, financial services companies, and airlines, as well as provides management services to third-party owners of aircraft portfolios. American International Group, through United Guaranty Corporation, issues residential mortgage guaranty insurance that covers mortgage lenders from the first loss for credit defaults on high loan-to-value conventional first-lien mortgages for the purchase or refinance of one- to four-family residences in the U.S. and internationally. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in New York, New York.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By David Sterman]

    My favorite insurers: AIG (NYSE: AIG) (which I discussed a few months ago), Protective Life (NYSE: PL) and Reinsurance Group of America (NYSE: RGA).

  • [By Diane Alter]

    The last time a Dow shake-up caused such a stir was in April 2004, when AT&T (NYSE: T), Eastman Kodak (currently in bankruptcy proceedings), and International Paper Co. (NYSE: IP) were removed and replaced with American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE), and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ).

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Starbucks Corporation(SBUX)

Starbucks Corporation purchases and roasts whole bean coffees. It operates approximately 16,858 stores, including 8,833 company-operated stores and 8,025 licensed stores. The company offers approximately 30 blends and single-origin premium arabica coffees. It also provides handcrafted beverages, such as fresh-brewed coffee, hot and iced espresso beverages, coffee and non-coffee blended beverages, Vivanno smoothies, and Tazo teas; and merchandise products, including home espresso machines, coffee brewers and grinders, coffee mugs and accessories, packaged goods, music, books, and gift items. In addition, it offers fresh food items, which comprise baked pastries, sandwiches, salads, oatmeal, yogurt parfaits, and fruit cups. Further, it also provides VIA ready brew coffee, bottled frappuccino beverages, discoveries chilled cup coffee, doubleshot espresso drinks, iced coffee, whole bean coffee, and ice creams. The company?s brand portfolio includes Tazo tea, Ethos water, Seatt le?s Best Coffee, and Torrefazione Italia Coffee. Starbucks Corporation sells its products in approximately 50 countries worldwide. Starbucks Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Victor Mora]

    Starbucks provides in-demand coffee and tea products and services to consumers around the world. The company is reportedly ready to expand to Colombia, where it sources most of its beans. The stock has been flying higher in recent years and is now trading at all-time high prices. Over the past four quarters, earnings and revenues have been rising, which have led to upbeat investors in the company. Relative to its peers and sector, Starbucks has been a year-to-date performance leader. Look for Starbucks to continue to OUTPERFORM.

  • [By Jared Cummans]

    The ultra-popular coffee chain Starbucks (SBUX) has announced a new Group President for Global Business Services.

    The hire comes from within, as CFO Troy Alstead has been given the new title, while still maintaining his CFO position. Alstead has been a member of the Starbucks team since 1992; a time when the company was private and had just 100 stores. Over his two decade tenure he held a number of financial and managerial positions and was also an original member of the Starbucks International team.

    Alstead will look to continue to contribute to the firm’s strong success, as its stock currently sits just below its all-time high. Though the company suffered a slight drawback in early 2012, it has gotten back on track and pushed to new levels.

    Starbucks shares were up 80 cents, or 1.05%, upon Tuesday’s close. The stock is up over 40% this year alone.

  • [By David Sterman]

    Consumers will migrate to other machines that work with the growing proliferation of K-cup options, all of which are cheaper than Green Mountain's offerings. The effort to design an "enhanced brewing process" also seems curious. Few consumers seem to feel that current K-cup offerings are disappointing. It's akin to Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) saying, "Our coffee used to be good, but we're making it better." That's not what a Starbucks customer is looking to hear.

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: CBOE Holdings Inc.(CBOE)

CBOE Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates markets for the execution of transactions in exchange-traded options. The company offers marketplaces for trading of options on individual equities, various market indexes, exchange-traded notes, and exchange-traded funds, as well as futures contracts and cash equities. It has strategic relationships with Standard & Poor’s Corporation; Dow Jones & Co.; NASDAQ; and Frank Russell Co. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By CNNMoney Staff]

    Stocks continued to rally despite the fact that options trading was temporarily halted Monday afternoon at exchanges run by CBOE Holdings (CBOE), Nasdaq OMX (NDAQ), BATS Global Markets and Miami International Holdings due to issues at the Options Price Reporting Authority (OPRA), which provides trading data and price quotes.

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Halliburton Company(HAL)

Halliburton Company provides various products and services to the energy industry for the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas worldwide. It operates in two segments, Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment offers production enhancement services, completion tools and services, cementing services, and Boots & Coots. Its production enhancement services include stimulation and sand control services; completion tools and services comprise subsurface safety valves and flow control equipment, surface safety systems, packers and specialty completion equipment, intelligent completion systems, expandable liner hanger systems, sand control systems, well servicing tools, and reservoir performance services; cementing services consist of bonding the well and well casing, while isolating fluid zones and maximizing wellbore stability, and casing equipment; and Boots & Coots include well intervention services , pressure control, equipment rental tools and services, and pipeline and process services. The Drilling and Evaluation segment provides field and reservoir modeling, drilling, evaluation, and wellbore placement solutions that enable customers to model, measure, and optimize their well construction activities. Its services comprise fluid services, drilling services, drill bits, wireline and perforating services, testing and subsea services, software and asset solutions, and integrated project management and consulting services. The company serves independent, integrated, and national oil companies. Halliburton Company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Tony Daltorio]

    The biggest oilfield service companies should get a big lift from the boom, Moors said. That includes Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE: SLB), Halliburton Co. (NYSE: HAL), Weatherford International Ltd. (NYSE: WFT), and Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE: BHI).

Top 10 European Companies To Buy Right Now: Clean Energy Fuels Corp.(CLNE)

Clean Energy Fuels Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides natural gas as an alternative fuel for vehicle fleets in the United States and Canada. The company designs, builds, operates, and maintains fueling stations, as well as supplies compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) fuel for medium and heavy-duty vehicles. Its CNG is used in automobiles, light to medium-duty vehicles, refuse trucks, and transit buses as an alternative to gasoline and diesel. The company also sells non-lubricated natural gas compressors and related equipment used in CNG and LNG stations; and produces renewable natural gas, which is used as vehicle fuel or sold for power generation. In addition, it offers vehicle finance services for the purchase of natural gas vehicles, as well as for the conversion of gasoline or diesel powered vehicles to operate on natural gas. Further, the company provides natural gas conversions, alternative fuel systems, application engineering, service and warranty support, and research and development services for natural gas vehicles. As of December 31, 2011, it served approximately 530 fleet customers with approximately 25,000 natural gas vehicles; and owned, operated, or supplied 273 natural gas fueling stations in 23 states within the United States, and British Columbia and Ontario within Canada, as well as in Peru. Clean Energy Fuels Corp. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Seal Beach, California.

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Michael Vodicka]

    Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) designs, builds and operates natural gas filling stations in the United States. The company supplies compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG), serving a fleet of 650 customers, more than 32,000 natural-gas vehicles while owning or supplying more than 350 filling stations in 32 states.