The best way to value Ensco (ESV), and the offshore oil drillers more generally, is to value them on the basis of their assets. These companies are obviously not earning any money right now, and when they do earn money, their earnings are very cyclical in nature, thus making earnings based analyses (like DCF’s) that make projections of regular earnings into the future inapplicable. So, in this article, I will look at Ensco’s value on the basis of the hard assets that it owns.
As Warren Buffett admonishes, in investing there should really only be two rules: (1) Don’t lose money; (2) don’t forget rule number one. In this spirit, my main focus will be on what I imagine to be the most plausible worst-case scenario. (Thus, for those of you who wish to comment, the most obvious way to attack my argument is to show how what I imagine to be the worst case is actually not the worst-case, and that, in fact, there is something else which is plausibly worse. I greatly look forward to reading your ideas.) My thesis will be that Ensco’s shares are undervalued even relative to this worst-case scenario. As a result, an investment in Ensco at current levels should cohere to Buffett’s investing rules laid out above, meaning a loss (over a longer-term holding period, of course) should be highly unlikely and the upside should take of itself. What I say here for Ensco should, in large part, be applicable (with the appropriate tweaks) to the others of the big-five offshore oil drillers as well – i.e., Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:RIG), Rowan Companies plc (NYSE:RDC), Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. (NYSE:DO), and Noble Corporation plc (NYSE:NE). Furthermore, what I say here takes more of the feel of a back-of-the-envelope calculation, as opposed to hyper-precise spreadsheet modeling. Again, following Buffett, the idea is to be approximately right, rather than precisely wrong.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Bank of Hawaii Corporation(BOH)
- [By Monica Gerson]
Bank of Hawaii Corporation (NYSE: BOH) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.99 per share on revenue of $149.88 million.
Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ: ZION) is projected to post its quarterly earnings at $0.39 per share on revenue of $576.49 million.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Zosano Pharma Corporation(ZSAN)
- [By Paul Ausick]
Zosano Pharma Corp. (NASDAQ: ZSAN) dropped about 17% Tuesday to post a new 52-week low of $0.54 after closing at $0.65 on Friday. Volume was around 720,000, about 10% below the daily average of around 850,000. The company had no specific news.
- [By Alex McGuire]
Here’s a list of the top 10 penny stocks to watch in March, which includes the biggest gainers last month…
Penny StockCurrent Stock PriceFebruary 2017 ReturnZosano Pharma Corp. (Nasdaq: ZSAN)$2.56+123.3%Bellerophon Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BLPH)$1.25+113.8%Peregrine Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: PPHM)$0.59+101.7%Galectin Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: GALT)$1.79+91.9%Bioanalytical Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: BASI)$1.58+90.6%CymaBay Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: CBAY)$3.50+89.8%Vermillion Inc. (Nasdaq: VRML)$2.56+86.3%Naked Brand Group Inc.(Nasdaq:NAKD)$2.16+76%Eyegate Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: EYEG)$2.63+73.9%Benitec Biopharma Ltd. (Nasdaq ADR: BNTC)$2.60+59.9%
The best-performing penny stock – Zosano Pharma Corp. – soared an incredible 123.3% from Feb. 1 to Feb. 28. To put those gains into perspective, that’s more than five times the S&P 500’s 23% climb in the last 12 months.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Alder BioPharmaceuticals, Inc.(ALDR)
- [By Paul Ausick]
Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: ALDR) posted a new 52-week low of $13.50on Tuesday, down nearly 28% compared with Monday’s closing price of $18.70. The stock’s 52-week high is $36.48. Volume totaled more than 12 million shares, about 12 times the daily average of around 720,000. The company reported that its migraine treatment reported a positive result, but investors were not impressed.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Pacific Gas & Electric Co.(PCG)
- [By Jon C. Ogg]
PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG), the parent of Pacific Gas & Electric, has been the focus of many regulatory actions in California over time. And power lines have been targeted, and PG&E shares dropped after the 2017 wildfires in the state.
- [By Chris Lange]
The stock posting the largest daily percentage gain in the S&P 500 ahead of the close Tuesday was PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG) which rose about 6% to $45.08. The stocks 52-week range is $37.30 to $71.57. Volume was nearly 13 million compared to the daily average volume of 6.8 million.
- [By Logan Wallace]
Pacific Gas and Electric (NYSE: PCG) and Unitil (NYSE:UTL) are both utilities companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their profitability, dividends, earnings, risk, analyst recommendations, valuation and institutional ownership.
- [By David Dittman]
PG&E Corp (NYSE: PCG), Edison International (NYSE: EIX) and Sempra Energy (NYSE: SRE) are the parent entities of California’s investor-owned utilities.
- [By Paul Ausick]
PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG) dropped more than 18% Thursday to post a new 52-week low of $41.61 after closing at $51.12 on Wednesday. The 52-week high is $71.57. Volume was around 47 million, nearly 8 times the daily average of around 6 million. The giant utility suspended its quarterly dividend this morning in order to set aside funds to deal with potential liability resulting from wildfires earlier this year in Northern California.
- [By Chris Lange]
The S&P 500 stock posting the largest daily percentage loss ahead of the close Thursday was PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG) which traded down about 13% at $44.43. The stocks 52-week range is $41.61 to $71.57. Volume was 52 million versus the daily average of 6 million shares.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Intellipharmaceutics International Inc.(IPCI)
- [By Lisa Levin]
IntelliPharmaCeutics Intl Inc (USA) (NASDAQ: IPCI) shares dropped 45 percent to $1.38 as the company disclosed that a FDA panel voted against approving the company’s NDA for Rexista™ abuse-deterrent oxycodone hydrochloride extended release tablets.
Hot Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: region(DGLD)
- [By Jim Robertson]
The VelocityShares 3x Inverse Gold ETN (NASDAQ: DGLD) seeks to provideshort exposure to three times (3x) the daily performance of theS&P GSCI Gold Index. As with UGLD, DGLD would be doing this viafutures contracts.