Markets clearly move in cycles, and commodities are no exception.
In fact, resources as an asset class are prone to the most extreme examples…
The good news is that recognizing and embracing these boom/bust cycles can make for huge profits.
And right now, a boom is clearly taking shape…
A number of commodities subsectors have already erupted on a dramatic surge upward…
And some equally dramatic indicators point to them heading much higher still…
The Signs Are Already Here
The TSX Venture Exchange is home to over 1,100 junior mining stocks. While not perfect, this exchange’s index is widely used as a proxy for the health of junior mining, which comprises about half the index.
After peaking near 2,300 back in early 2011, the index has tanked over the past three years, losing about 63% of its value.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Stream Group Ltd (SGO)
Stream Group Limited, formerly LongReach Group Limited, is an Australia-based company operating in the information and communications technology (ICT) sector. The Company is engaged in the design, integration, installation and maintenance of integrated information and communications technology based products and services to the defense, public safety and security sectors, as well as for government, telecommunications and corporate customers, both locally and internationally. The Company together with its subsidiaries is also engaged in the provision of consulting services to certain key defense organizations. In January 2013, the Company sold its C4i business. Advisors’ Opinion:
- [By Jonathan Morgan]
Saint-Gobain (SGO) dropped 3.7 percent to 36.87 euros. Morgan Stanley cut its rating on the stock to underweight, similar to a sell recommendation, from equal weight, saying it doesn’t see a recovery yet in the European building industry and the contribution from emerging markets will slow.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Asanko Gold Inc (AKG)
Asanko Gold Inc., incorporated on September 23, 1999, is a natural resource company engaged in the acquisition and exploration of mineral resources in West Ghana. Its mineral properties are in the exploration and development stage. Its primary property is the Esaase project. The Company is focused on advancing the Esaase Gold Project to commercial production. In addition to its principal project, the Company holds a portfolio of other Ghanaian gold concessions in various stages of exploration. As of February 28, 2014, the Company’s material properties consisted of the Asanko Gold Mine project, the Asumura Property and the Diaso Property, all in West Ghana, Africa. In February 2014, Asanko Gold Inc successfully completed the acquisition of PMI Gold Corporation.
Asanko Gold Mine Property
The Asanko Gold Mine Property is a development stage property located in the Amansi East District of Ghana, approximately 35 kilometers south west of the regional capital Kumasi. The property comprises the Nkran pit, the Adubiaso pit, the Dynamite Hill deposit, the Asuadai deposit, the Abore pit and the Esaase deposit. The Property has gold resources of approximately 7.52 million ounces and gold reserves of approximately 4.81 million ounces.
The Asumura Property
The Asumura Property is without known resources or reserves and the work being done by the Company is exploratory in nature. The Asumura Property is located in the south-western part of Ghana and is divided into two parts by the Bia River. The western part of the property is within the Western Region of Ghana in the Juabeso Bia District and the eastern part is in the Brong Ahafo Region of Ghana. The Asumura Property consists of two exploration concessions: Fosukrom and Asumura, which together equal 279.4 square kilometers.
- [By MONEYMORNING]
As well, Primero Mining (NYSE: PPP) bought Brigus Gold Corp (USA)(NYSE: BRD) for $220 million, and Asanko Gold (NYSEMKT: AKG) is acquiring PMI Gold Corporation (TSE: PMV).
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: SWS Group Inc.(SWS)
SWS Group, Inc., a diversified financial services holding company, provides a range of investment and commercial banking, and related financial services to individual, corporate, and institutional investors, as well as broker/dealers, governmental entities, and financial intermediaries in the United States. It operates in four segments: Clearing, Retail, Institutional, and Banking. The Clearing segment provides clearing and execution services for general securities broker/dealers, bank affiliated firms, and firms specializing in high volume trading. The Retail segment offers retail securities products and services, such as equities, mutual funds, and fixed income products; insurance products; and managed accounts. The Institutional segment provides securities lending, investment banking and public finance, fixed income sales and trading, proprietary trading, and agency execution services to institutional customers. The Banking segment offers various banking products and se rvices, including certificates of deposit, money market accounts, interest-bearing demand accounts, savings accounts, federal home loan bank advances, federal funds purchased, and non interest-bearing demand accounts, as well as one to four family residential loans and construction loans, lot and land development loans, commercial real estate loans, multi family loans, commercial loans, and consumer loans. SWS Group, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- [By Lauren Pollock]
Hilltop Holdings Inc.(HTH) offered to buy the rest of SWS Group Inc.(SWS) that it doesn’t already own, valuing the financial-services company at about $231 million. Hilltop, a regional banking and insurance company, offered $7 a share, a 16% premium over Thursday’s close. SWS surged 19% to $7.20 premarket, topping the offer price.
- [By Tim Melvin]
SWS Group (SWS) also catches my eye at the current valuation. The Dallas-based company is in the brokerage, investment banking and banking business in the Southwest. They struggled with losses at the banking subsidiary and eventually had to find a capital infusion. They ended up borrowing $100 million from noted investors Gerald Ford and Robert Bass. The core brokerage and investment banking business are well positioned and should do well over the next few years. I wouldn’t be shocked if this firm was eventually sold off, with Mr. Ford keeping the banking assets and selling the brokerage and I-Bank units to a larger firm. With the stock trading at just 65% of book value, the long-term potential is very high for this stock.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Granite Construction Inc (GVA)
Granite Construction Incorporated (Granite), incorporated on January 24, 1990, is a diversified heavy civil contractors and construction materials producers in the United States. The Company operates in four segments: Construction, Large Project Construction, Construction Materials and Real Estate. The Company operates nationwide, serving both public and private sector clients. Within the public sector, it primarily concentrates on heavy-civil infrastructure projects, including the construction of roads, highways, mass transit facilities, airport infrastructure, bridges, dams and other infrastructure related projects. Within the private sector, it performs site preparation and infrastructure services for residential development, commercial and industrial buildings, and other facilities. The Company owns and leases substantial aggregate reserves and own a number of construction materials processing plants. It also has contractor-owned heavy construction equipment fleets in the United States. In December 2012, it purchased 100% interest of Kenny Construction Company (Kenny).
Revenue from its Construction segment was approximately 47% of its total revenue during the year ended December 31, 2012. Revenue from its Construction segment is derived from both public and private sector clients. The Construction segment performs various heavy civil construction projects with a large portion of the work focused on new construction and improvement of streets, roads, highways, bridges, site work and other infrastructure projects. These are typically bid-build projects completed within two years.
Large Project Construction
Revenue from its Large Project Construction segment was 41.4% of its total revenue in 2012. The Large Project Construction segment focuses on large, complex infrastructure projects, which typically have a longer duration than its Construction segment work. These projects in clude major highways, mass transit facilities, bridges, tunn! els, waterway locks and dams, pipelines, canals and airport infrastructure. This segment primarily includes bid-build, design-build and construction management/general contractor contracts. It participates in joint ventures with other construction companies mainly on projects in its Large Project Construction segment. Joint ventures are typically used for large, technically complex projects, including design/build projects, where it is desirable to share risk and resources. Joint venture partners typically provide independently prepared estimates, shared financing and equipment and often bring local knowledge and expertise.
The Company also utilizes the design/build and construction management/general contract methods of project delivery. Under the construction management/general contract method of delivery, it contracts with owners to manage the design phase of the contract with the understanding that it will negotiate a contract on the construction phase when the design nears completion. Revenue from design/build and construction management/general contract projects represented 74.5% of Large Project Construction revenue in 2012.
Revenue from its Construction Materials segment was 11.1% of its total revenue in 2012. The Construction Materials segment mines and processes aggregates and operates plants that produce construction materials for internal use and for sale to third parties. It has aggregate reserves that it has acquired by ownership in fee or through long-term leases. Aggregate products used in its construction projects represented approximately 42.7% of its tons sold during 2012.
Granite Land Company (GLC) is an investor in a diversified portfolio of land assets and provides real estate services for other Granite operations. GLC’s investment portfolio consists of residential, as well as retail and office site development projects fo r sale to home and commercial property developers. The range! of its i! nvolvement in an individual project may vary from passive investment to management of land use rights, development, construction, leasing and eventual sale of the project. Generally, GLC has teamed with partners who have local knowledge and expertise in the development of each property. GLC’s investments are located in Washington, California and Texas. Revenue from GLC was 0.2% of its total revenue in 2012.
- [By Louis Navellier]
If we look at the sector using Portfolio Grader, we see that many of the big names in the group like Flour (FLR), Granite Construction (GVA) and KBR incorporated (KBR) are rated “sell.” The anticipated spending for both government and private industry simply hasn’t materialized, and the companies are not seeing revenue or profit growth.
- [By Wallace Witkowski]
Some of the companies most dependent on government for revenue are Harris Corp. (HRS) with 80% of revenue government-derived; Granite Construction Inc. (GVA) with 58%; Flir Systems Inc. (FLIR) with 54%; and Waste Management Inc. (WM) and Republic Services Inc. (RSG) both with 50%, according to Goldman Sachs.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Aruba Networks Inc.(ARUN)
Aruba Networks, Inc. provides next-generation network access solutions for the mobile enterprises worldwide. Its products include ArubaOS, an operating system software for wired, wireless, and remote access products for integrating user-based security, application-aware radio-frequency services, and wireless LAN access to deliver mobile networking solutions; software modules for ArubaOS; mobility controllers for managing wired and wireless access; access points, which serve as on-ramps that aggregate user traffic onto the enterprise network and direct this traffic to mobility controllers; and mobility access switches that provide secure network access for wired users and devices. The company also offers remote networking products comprising remote access points for securing always-on network access to corporate enterprise networks from remote locations; Aruba Instant; and Virtual Intranet Access client software that provides secure network connectivity for Windows laptops and MacBooks. In addition, it offers outdoor wireless mesh routers to secure Wi-Fi access and backhaul links for transporting voice, video, and data traffic wirelessly. Further, the company provides management and security software products, such as AirWave network management for managing mobile and wired users on multisite networks; and Amigopod access management, which manages secure wireless LAN access for visitors, contractors, employees, and their mobile devices, as well as offers cloud-based content security services for branch offices and teleworkers. It markets its products to construction, general enterprise, education, finance, government, healthcare, hospitality, manufacturing, media, retail, technology, telecom, transportation, and utility industries through its sales force, value-added resellers, value-added distributors, and original equipment manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
- [By Wallace Witkowski]
Aruba Networks Inc. (ARUN) shares fell 6.5% to $18.75 on moderate volume even though the company reported adjusted fiscal third-quarter results of 20 cents a share on revenue of $188.8 million, against a Wall Street consensus forecast of 20 cents a share on revenue of $180.8 million.
- [By John Kell]
Aruba Networks Inc.(ARUN) swung to a fiscal second-quarter loss as the wireless-networking equipment maker’s increased expenses more than offset revenue growth and the results also were hurt by one-time items. Shares climbed 9% to $22.98 premarket.
- [By Jake L’Ecuyer]
Aruba Networks (NASDAQ: ARUN) was also up, gaining 6.63 percent to $18.34 after the company reported upbeat Q1 results. Needham upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy.
- [By Roberto Pedone]
One network equipment player that’s quickly moving within range of triggering a major breakout trade is Aruba Networks (ARUN), which provides enterprise mobility solutions. This stock is off to a weak start in 2013, with shares off by 11%.
If you take a look at the chart for Aruba Networks, you’ll notice that this stock just formed a major bottom chart pattern, after buyers stepped in to support the price over the last month and change from $17 to $16.25 a share. Following that bottom, shares of ARUN have now started to rebound higher and move back above its 50-day moving average of $17.73 a share. That move is quickly pushing shares of ARUN within range of triggering a major breakout trade.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ARUN if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $19.16 a share to its 200-day moving average at $19.63 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 2.12 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then ARUN will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone from May that started near $22 a share. Any high-volume move above $22 will then give ARUN a chance to hit $24 to $25 a share.
Traders can look to buy ARUN off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below support at $17 a share or below $16.25 a share if you want to give it more room. One can also buy ARUN off strength once it takes out those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC)
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc., incorporated on October 24, 2005, is a provider of inpatient behavioral healthcare services in the United States. The Company’s principal business is to develop and operate inpatient psychiatric facilities, residential treatment centers, group homes, substance abuse facilities and facilities providing outpatient behavioral health services in the United States. In January 2014, the Company announced that it has completed the acquisition of inpatient psychiatric facilities in Seattle, Washington, and Riverside, California.
In December 2011, the Company closed three outpatient facilities and a 24-bed substance abuse facility acquired from PHC on November 1, 2011. The Company’s facilities and services consists of acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; residential treatment centers, group homes, therapeutic group homes and foster care; substance abuse centers; outpatient community-based services, and other behavioral services, incl uding specialized educational services and call centers.
Acute Inpatient Psychiatric Facilities
The Company’s acute inpatient psychiatric facilities provide a high level of care in order to stabilize patients that are either a threat to themselves or to others. The acute setting provides 24-hour observation, daily intervention and monitoring by psychiatrists. The Company’s facilities, which offer acute care services provide evaluation and crisis stabilization of patients with severe psychiatric diagnoses through a medical delivery that incorporates structured and intensive medical and behavioral therapies with 24-hour monitoring by a psychiatrist, psychiatric trained nurses, therapists and other direct care staff. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated 10 facilities that provided acute care services in addition to other services.
Residential Treatment Centers/Group Homes
The Company’s residential treatment cent ers treat patients with behavioral disorders in a non-hospit! al setting. The facilities balance therapy activities with social, academic and other activities. The Company provides residential treatment care through a medical model residential treatment facility, which offers intensive, medically-driven interventions and individualized treatment regimens designed to deal with moderate to high level patient acuity. Treatment is provided by an interdisciplinary team coordinating psychopharmacological, individual, group and family therapy, along with specialized accredited educational programs in both secure and unlocked environments. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated 14 facilities that provided residential treatment care, in addition to other services.
The Company’s group home programs provide family-style living for youths in a single house or apartment within residential communities where supervision and support are provided by 24-hour staff. The Company also operates therapeutic group homes that provide treat ment services for seriously, emotionally disturbed adolescents. The Company also manages therapeutic foster care programs, which are considered the least restrictive form of therapeutic placement for children and adolescents with emotional disorders. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated three facilities that provided group home and therapeutic group home services.
Outpatient Community-Based Services
The Company’s community-based services are provided for two age groups: children and adolescents (seven to 18 years of age) and young children (three months to six years of age). Community-based programs are designed to provide therapeutic treatment to children and adolescents who have a clinically-defined emotional, psychiatric or chemical dependency disorder while enabling the youth to remain at home and within their community. Community-based programs developed for these age groups provide an array of therapeutic services to children. As of D ecember 31, 2011, the Company operated eight facilities that! provided! community-based services.
Substance Abuse Centers
The Company’s Substance abuse centers (or SACs) provide a continuum of care for adults with addictive disorders and co-occurring mental disorders. The Company’s detox, inpatient, partial hospitalization and outpatient treatment programs give patients access to the least restrictive level of care. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated two SACs.
Specialized Education Services and Other Behavioral Services
The Company’s education programs provide an educational experience to children and adolescents having special education needs. In some states, the Company provides educational services on an extended school year basis. The Company also has charter schools that utilize teaching methods that address therapeutic needs particular to learning and behavioral deficits of the students. The Company’s education services also include vocational education and training that ma y allow those residents to become employable in entry level positions in the communities in, which they reside. GED preparation courses are also offered for students who require assistance in developing test-taking skills and who would benefit from tutoring services. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated 11 facilities that provided educational services.
The Company also offers a variety of other behavioral health services for specialized populations who need specific treatment methods Programs include at risk infant and children clinics, sexually maladaptive behavior (SMB) programs, programs for adolescent females, programs for the mentally retarded and developmentally disabled youth and programs for severe and persistently mentally ill youths.
Call Center Operations
The Company provides management , administrative and help lines services. The Company provides these servicesthrough contracts with railroads and a call center con tract with Wayne County, Michigan.
The Company ! competes ! with UHS, Aurora Behavioral Health Care (Aurora) and Ascend Health Corporation (Ascend).
- [By Maria Armental var popups = dojo.query(“.socialByline .popC”); popups.forEach]
Acadia Healthcare Co.(ACHC) Inc. agreed to acquire U.K.-based independent behavioral-health services firm Partnerships in Care for roughly $660 million, providing a foothold in Britain.
- [By Tom Lydon]
Top holdings based on the index include Acadia Healthcare Companies (ACHC), Amsurg Corporation (AMSG), Brookdale Senior Living (BKD), Clarcor (CLC) and Community Health Systems (CYH).
- [By Roberto Pedone]
Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) develops and operates a network of behavioral health facilities, providing premier psychiatric and chemical dependency services to its patients. This stock closed up 6.5% at $36.87 in Wednesday’s trading session.
Wednesday’s Volume: 792,000
Three-Month Average Volume: 360,986
Volume % Change: 124%
From a technical perspective, ACHC soared higher here right above its 50-day moving average at $34.12 with strong upside volume. This move pushed shares of ACHC into breakout territory, since the stock took out its former 52-week high at $36. Shares of ACHC have been uptrending strong over the last six months, with shares soaring higher from its low of $24.93 to its intraday high of $37. During that move, shares of ACHC have been making mostly higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ACHC as long as it’s trending above its 50-day at $34.12 and then once it sustains a move or close above Wednesday’s high of $37 with volume that’s near or above 360,986 shares. If we get that move soon, then ACHC will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $40 to $45.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: Capella Education Company(CPLA)
Capella Education Company operates as an online postsecondary education services company in the United States and internationally. The company, trough its Capella University, offers various doctoral, master?s, and bachelor?s programs primarily for working adults in public service leadership, behavioral health and human services, business management and technology, and education markets; and online distance learning services for degree-entry programs and doctoral level programs in various disciplines, including business, management, psychology, law, and computing disciplines. It also provides learner support services, such as academic services comprising new learner orientation, technical support, academic advising, research services, online tutoring, and writing services; and administrative services through the telephone and Internet. In addition, the company?s learner support services include library services, such as access to collection of online journals, eBooks, an d interlibrary loan services; and career center services comprising career counseling, job search advising, and career management support services to learners and alumni. As of December 31, 2011, the company offered approximately 1,450 online courses and 43 academic programs with 140 specializations to approximately 37,000 learners. Capella Education Company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
- [By Jeremy Bowman]
So what: ITT Educational Services (NYSE: ESI ) reported earnings earlier this morning, shooting up 30%, and earlier this week, Capella Education (NASDAQ: CPLA ) jumped 15% after reporting, and is now approaching a new 52-week high. The education sector has gotten hammered over the last couple of years, but investors seem to be getting the feeling that enrollment numbers are bottoming. One exception was DeVry (NYSE: DV ) , which fell sharply after reporting earnings earlier this week, but still managed to gain 5.8% today.
- [By Seth Jayson]
Calling all cash flows
When you are trying to buy the market’s best stocks, it’s worth checking up on your companies’ free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That’s what we do with this series. Today, we’re checking in on Capella Education (Nasdaq: CPLA ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.
- [By Bill Smith]
ESI competes with many other for-profit ventures, including:
Other for-profit educators, such as: Strayer (STRA), Apollo (APOL), DeVry (DV), Capella (CPLA), Corinthian Colleges (COCO), and Career Education Corporation (CECO)Traditional colleges/universitiesCommunity colleges
Sales, EBITDA and Earnings
ESI has steadily increased revenue and earnings. In the last decade they’ve grown revenue at 20.8%; EBITDA at 34.4%; FCF at 22.5%, and Book Value at 8.5%.
Hot Sliver Companies To Watch In Right Now: PURE Bioscience Inc.(PURE)
Pure Bioscience, Inc. engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of bioscience products principally in the United States. The company offers silver dihydrogen citrate (SDC) based antimicrobials. The silver dihydrogen citrate technology is an electrochemical process that allows the generation of ionized silver in the presence of organic acid. It provides PURE Hard Surface, a hard surface disinfectant and food contact surface sanitizer for use in food processing equipment, machinery, and utensils; Axen30, a hard surface disinfectant; Silv