Final Colombia Presidential Polls Point to Duque-Petro Run-off

A “market-friendly” candidate pledging to cut taxes on corporations will face off against a leftist former Mayor of Bogota in the second round of Colombia’s presidential election, according to some of the last polls of the campaign.

Table of Colombian polls

Four polls published May 17 and May 18 all show Ivan Duque, an ally of former President Alvaro Uribe, leading with support of 35 percent to 38 percent, followed by Gustavo Petro, with support of 24 percent to 27 percent. The surveys are among the last of the campaign, since polls are banned from May 21.

Colombians vote in the first round on May 27, with a run-off on June 17 should no one candidate get more than 50 percent of the vote. The latest polling also shows a revival for former Medellin Mayor Sergio Fajardo who now has between 14 percent and 18 percent support, according to the gauges.

A survey by Nomura found that Duque is the most market-friendly among the leading candidates, while Petro’s election would trigger a sell-off in the peso.