Our Long Idea reports aim to identify those firms that the market has overlooked and that, when analyzed beyond standard metrics, are significantly undervalued. These hidden gems provide excellent upside potential to any portfolio, with little downside risk.
In addition to individual Long Ideas, we provide Model Portfolios that provide well-screened lists of companies based on specific criteria such as return on invested capital (ROIC) or dividend yield. In 2016, we added two new Model Portfolios, Exec Comp Aligned With ROIC and Safest Dividend Yields, to go along with our longstanding Most Attractive & Most Dangerous Stocks Model Portfolio, which has a long history of outperformance.
Below presents the Long Idea highlights of 2016 and the performance of our new Model Portfolios.
Long Idea Highlights
It pays to read our Long Idea reports. In 2016, 10 out of our 15 Long Idea stock and mutual fund picks saw positive returns and 13 stocks outperformed the market (S&P 500). All told, the Long Idea stocks averaged a 9.9% return in 2016, which was slightly more than the S&P 500’s return of nearly 9.5%, thereby outperforming as a long portfolio. Some of the top picks can be seen in Figure 1 below.
Best Safest Stocks For 2018: Tennessee Valley Authority(TVE)
- [By Shane Hupp]
Tamarack-Valley-Energy (CVE:TVE) had its price objective raised by equities research analysts at BMO Capital Markets from C$3.75 to C$4.50 in a research note issued on Friday. BMO Capital Markets’ target price points to a potential downside of 82.02% from the stock’s current price.
Best Safest Stocks For 2018: Optical Cable Corporation(OCC)
- [By Logan Wallace]
Octoin Coin (CURRENCY:OCC) traded 7% higher against the US dollar during the 24 hour period ending at 19:00 PM Eastern on May 12th. One Octoin Coin coin can now be bought for approximately $2.51 or 0.00029499 BTC on popular exchanges including Exrates and YoBit. Octoin Coin has a market cap of $926,548.00 and approximately $1.02 million worth of Octoin Coin was traded on exchanges in the last day. In the last week, Octoin Coin has traded 23.4% lower against the US dollar.
Best Safest Stocks For 2018: Dillard's, Inc.(DDS)
- [By ]
Some reasons for my bearishness on retail stocks:
Higher Energy Prices. Oil prices have rallied dramatically and back to 2014 levels, rising from about $35 a barrel in early 2016 to around $67 Thursday. That’s bad news for U.S. retailers, as rising oil prices historically squeeze consumer disposable incomes. That’s one reason why I’ve been consistently raising my short exposure to retail and plan to continue doing so. Shaky Same-Store Sales Growth. Recent improvements to same-store sales at Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) , Urban Outfitters (URBN) , Dillard’s (DDS) , Gap Inc. (GPS) and Macy’s (M) come against downgraded expectations, and might not be sustainable anyway. No Deal for Nordstrom (JWN) . The Nordstrom family has apparently abandoned plans to take its namesake company private. I had expressed concerns that this would happen. Higher Interest Rates. A rise in the London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (LIBOR) has recently accelerated. That’s bad news for retailers, as many variable-rate consumer debts (particularly mortgages) key off of the LIBOR. This will likely put a damper on mortgage refinancings — something that many see as an important ingredient for personal-consumption expenditures.
- [By Adam Levine-Weinberg]
On Monday, top department store stocks including Macy’s (NYSE:M), Kohl’s (NYSE:KSS), Dillard’s (NYSE:DDS), and J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP) lost roughly 3% to 4%. The catalyst was a negative analyst report.
Best Safest Stocks For 2018: Jack Henry & Associates Inc.(JKHY)
- [By Ethan Ryder]
Whittier Trust Co. of Nevada Inc. raised its position in Jack Henry & Associates (NASDAQ:JKHY) by 42.5% in the first quarter, Holdings Channel reports. The fund owned 3,154 shares of the technology company’s stock after buying an additional 940 shares during the period. Whittier Trust Co. of Nevada Inc.’s holdings in Jack Henry & Associates were worth $381,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.
Best Safest Stocks For 2018: Petroquest Energy Inc(PQ)
- [By Ethan Ryder]
News headlines about Petroquest Energy (NYSE:PQ) have been trending somewhat positive recently, Accern Sentiment Analysis reports. Accern identifies negative and positive news coverage by reviewing more than 20 million blog and news sources. Accern ranks coverage of publicly-traded companies on a scale of -1 to 1, with scores nearest to one being the most favorable. Petroquest Energy earned a coverage optimism score of 0.05 on Accern’s scale. Accern also gave news stories about the energy company an impact score of 47.638327846877 out of 100, meaning that recent news coverage is somewhat unlikely to have an impact on the company’s share price in the near future.