Shares of American Airlines (AAL) are soaring today after the carrier reported better-than-forecast earnings. UBS analyst Darryl Genovesi explains why needs to happen for American Airlines shares to keep flying:
Bloomberg News/Laura Buckman
Stock is outperforming on above-consensus Q3 RASM/margin guide, outlook for continued sequential RASM improvement in Q4, and modestly-lower 2017-18 capex expectation following A350 deferral. We estimate that midpoint of 12-14% pre-tax margin guidance implies EPS in the $1.50-1.75 range with midpoint about in line with our $1.69 estimate, but $0.10-0.15 ahead of consensus. Q3 total RASM seen down 3.5-5.5% implying 5-7% passenger RASM (PRASM) decline along with 1.5% benefit from new credit card deal, all about in line with our expectations.
Revenue commentary inflecting: Comments on the supply-demand balance in American markets clearly inflecting with Domestic and Latin America bookings better, and further improvement anticipated in Q4. American reiterated outlook for at least $1B benefit from main cabin segmentation, which will begin with Basic Economy in late 2016, followed by Premium Economy in 2017. We are reviewing our RASM forecasts, which incorporate a ~$500M segmentation benefit over the next three years, of which ~$350M in 2017.
5 Best Performing Stocks To Buy Right Now: Canadian Pacific Railway Limited(CP)
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates a transcontinental railway in Canada and the United States. The company provides logistics and supply chain expertise services. It transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, fertilizers, and sulphur; and intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers that can be transported by train, ship, and truck, as well as in domestic containers and trailers that can be moved by train and truck. The company also transports merchandise freight consisting of finished vehicles and automotive parts, chemicals and plastics, crude oil, and forest products, as well as metals, minerals, and consumer products. It provides rail and intermodal transportation services over a network of approximately 13,700 miles serving the business centers of Canada from Montreal, Quebec, to Vancouver, British Columbia, and the United States Northeast and Midwest regions . In addition, the company offers transloading, warehousing, and distribution services of steel products. Canadian Pacific Railway Limited was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
- [By Motif Investing]
Bill Ackman is founder and CEO of hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. Some of his activist positions have included Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT), JC Penney Company Inc (JCP) and Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (NYSE: CP). His funds have suffered double-digit losses in the last year – a net loss of 16.5 and 20.5 percent respectively for his main fund and Pershing Square Holdings in 2015 – largely due to a sizeable stake in Valeant Pharmaceuticals.
Ackman has also been in the news recently regarding his December 2012 bet against Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE: HLF), a nutrition and weight management company that was facing pyramid scheme allegations up until recently. Ackman’s activist goal over the last several years has been to expose Herbalife as a get-rich-quick scammer. He believes the company should be taken down due to its use of inflated pricing, misleading data and unscrupulous incentive structure.
The Federal Trade Commission just released its ruling on July 15th for a $200 million settlement fine that doesn’t include pyramid scheme charges. Fortune estimates Ackman has lost at least $500 million on his 20.2 million shares, stock loan fees and marketing campaigns costs to publicly shame the company.
5 Best Performing Stocks To Buy Right Now: Sunoco LP(SUN)
Sunoco LP engages in the wholesale distribution and retail sale of motor fuels primarily in Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Kansas, Maryland, Virginia, Tennessee, Georgia, and Hawaii. It operates through two segments, Wholesale and Retail. It serves convenience stores and consignment locations, contracted independent convenience store operators, and other commercial customers. The company also distributes other petroleum products, such as propane and lubricating oils; and leases or subleases real estate properties used in the retail distribution of motor fuels. As of December 31, 2014, it operated 155 convenience stores and fuel outlets offering merchandise, food service, motor fuel, and other services in 5 states. Sunoco GP LLC serves as the general partner of the company. The company was formerly known as Susser Petroleum Partners LP and changed its name to Sunoco LP in October 2014. Sunoco LP is based in Houston, Te xas.
- [By Lisa Levin]
Here is the list of stocks going ex-dividend on August 3, 2016.
J B Hunt Transport Services Inc (NASDAQ: JBHT) – $0.2200 dividend, 1.0791 percent yield Johnson Controls Inc (NYSE: JCI) – $0.2900 dividend, 2.6250 percent yield FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE: FE) – $0.3600 dividend, 3.9680 percent yield Sunoco LP (NYSE: SUN) – $0.8255 dividend, 10.7347 percent yield Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) – $0.3800 dividend, 3.1588 percent yield BP plc (ADR) (NYSE: BP) – $0.6000 dividend, 6.8768 percent yield American Airlines Group Inc (NASDAQ: AAL) – $0.1000 dividend, 1.1442 percent yield Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. (NASDAQ: HSII) – $0.1300 dividend, 2.9834 percent yield Alcoa Inc (NYSE: AA) – $0.0300 dividend, 1.1321 percent yield Sensient Technologies Corporation (NYSE: SXT) – $0.2700 dividend, 1.5341 percent yield
Posted-In: Ex-DividendNews Dividends Markets Trading Ideas
Top 10 Shipping Stocks For 2016: Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation(CDE)
Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership, operation, exploration, and development of silver and gold mining properties located primarily in South America, Mexico, the United States, and Australia. The company also explores for lead and zinc ores. Its properties include the Palmarejo mine located in the state of Chihuahua, northern Mexico; San Bartolome mine located near Potosi, Bolivia; Kensington mine located north-northwest of Juneau, Alaska; Rochester mine located in northwestern Nevada; Martha mine located in Santa Cruz, Argentina; and the Endeavor mine in New South Wales, Australia, as well as Joaquin, Tornado, and Satelite properties in Santa Cruz, Argentina. The company was founded in 1928 and is based in Coeur d?Alene, Idaho.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Deutsche Bank’s Jorge Beristain and Chris Terry released their earnings preview for the gold miners–including Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), Franco-Nevada (FNV), and Coeur Mining (CDE)–and conclude that only one gold miner deserves a Buy rating: Newmont Mining (NEM). They explain why:
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Given revised commodity deck forecasts (particularly for Steel and Gold) and improved Balance Sheet health (Steels, Precious and Industrials Metals) we are upgrading our ratings on several stocks in our coverage. We generally favor companies that have already initiated specific self-help, have low-cost assets and are less exposed to China supply and demand dynamics. In Steels, we have increased our rating from Hold to Buy on Nucor (NUE) and from Sell to Hold on US Steel. We have also upgraded Kinross Gold (KGC) to a Hold on valuation…On higher-than-peer valuations, we reiterate Sell-rated Coeur Mining (CDE), Franco-Nevada (FNV), Goldcorp (GG), Teck Resources (TCK) and highly leveraged AK Steel given preference to issue further equity if possible.
5 Best Performing Stocks To Buy Right Now: Unifi, Inc.(UFI)
Unifi, Inc., incorporated on January 8, 1969, is a manufacturing company. The Company processes and sells commodity yarns, specialized yarns and premier value-added (PVA) yarns. The Company operates through three segments: Polyester segment, Nylon segment and International segment. The Company’s polyester products include polyester polymer beads (Chip), partially oriented yarn (POY), textured, solution and package dyed, twisted, beamed and draw wound yarns, which is available in virgin or recycled varieties (the latter made from both pre-consumer yarn waste and post-consumer waste, including plastic bottles). The Company’s nylon products include textured, solution dyed and spandex covered products. The Company’s principal geographic markets for its products are located in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America and South America.
The Company’s Polyester segment manufactures Chip, POY, textured, dyed, twisted, beamed and draw w ound yarns, both virgin and recycled, with sales primarily to other yarn manufacturers and knitters and weavers that produce yarn and/or fabric for the apparel, hosiery, automotive upholstery, home furnishings, industrial and other end-use markets. The Polyester Segment consists of sales and manufacturing operations in the United States and El Salvador.
The Company’s Nylon segment manufactures textured yarns (both nylon and polyester) and spandex covered yarns, with sales to knitters and weavers that produce fabric primarily for the apparel and hosiery markets. The Nylon Segment consists of sales and manufacturing operations in the United States and Colombia.
The Company’s International segment offers products, including textured polyester, and various types of resale yarns and staple fiber. The International Segment sells its yarns to knitters and weavers that produce fabric for the apparel, automotive upholstery, home furnishings, industrial and other end-use m! arkets primarily in the South American and Asian regions. It also includes a manufacturing location and sales offices in Brazil and a sales office in China.
The Company competes with O’Mara, Inc., NanYa Plastics Corp. of America, AKRA, S.A. de C.V., C S Central America S.A. de C.V., Avanti Industria Comercio Importacao e Exportacao Ltda., Polyenka Ltda., Sapona Manufacturing Company, Inc. and McMichael Mills, Inc.
- [By Lisa Levin]
Unifi, Inc. (NYSE: UFI) shares were also up, gaining 18 percent to $26.92 as the company announced Q3 earnings of $0.56 per share on revenue of $161.3 million.
5 Best Performing Stocks To Buy Right Now: Transocean Inc.(RIG)
Transocean Ltd. provides offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells worldwide. It offers deepwater and harsh environment drilling, oil and gas drilling management, and drilling engineering and drilling project management services. The company also offers well and logistics services. In addition, it engages in oil and gas exploration, development, and production activities primarily in the United States offshore Louisiana and Texas, and in the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea. As of February 10, 2011, the company owned, had partial ownership interests in, and operated 138 mobile offshore drilling units, including 47 high-specification floaters, 25 midwater floaters, 9 high-specification jackups, 54 standard jackups, and 3 other rigs, as well as 1 ultra-deepwater floater and 3 high-specification jackups under construction. Transocean Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Shares of Noble have gained 5% to $9.32 at 1:59, but that appears downright disappointing next to Seadrill (SDRL), Transocean (RIG) and Atwood Oceanics (ATW). Transocean has climbed 7.2% to $11.28, Seadrill has jumped 7.6% to $3.40, and Atwood Oceanics has soared 9.9% to $12.31.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
RBC’s Kurt Hallead and Benjamin Owens offer their take on Transocean (RIG) appearance at the RBC Global Energy and Power Conference:
Our view: Transocvean continues to execute well, with the focus on revenue efficiency bearing fruit over the last several quarters. However, we believeTransocean shares have limited upside until the market gains more confidence in the supply/demand outlook for floating rigs in 2017-18. Currently, fundamentals continue to weaken for floating rigs, and it remains unclear where dayrates and utilization may bottom.
Expects to see 2H16 opportunities in the jackup market:Transocean expects shallow water to be the first area within the offshore market to see increased spending if oil prices remain constructive. The demand for jackups is being driven by independent oil companies and NOCs. The company still expects the deep water rig count to trend lower through at late-2016 or early-2017.
Deepwater recovery domino effect: In Transoceans view, deep water rigs currently working will remain working in a recovery. The next rigs back to work will be warm-stacked rigs, then rigs currently in the ship-yard, with rigs currently cold-stacked the last to find work. The company thinks newbuilds could cease for up to a decade during the next cycle, similar to what happened in the 1990s, with many offshore drillers opting to upgrade rigs rather than build new.
Offshore dayrates could lag in a recovery: With demand still declining, dayrates for new work are likely to remain near cash break-even to slightly higher in the near-term.Transocean thinks utilization needs to hit 80-85% before the industry starts to see pricing power for offshore rigs. The company thinks pricing could take a while to move off the bottom, even with activity increases, due to the fact that it will take the industry some time to digest the magnitude of oversupply in offshore rigs.
Evercore ISI’sJames West a
- [By Teresa Rivas]
Chevron and Transocean (RIG) were named in the $20 billion lawsuit over a 2011 oil spill off the southeast coast of the country, and both parties are expected to sign off on the deal today, reports The Wall Street Journal. Criminal charges against executives have already been dropped.