Although business headlines still tout earnings numbers, many investors have moved past net earnings as a measure of a company’s economic output. That’s because earnings are very often less trustworthy than cash flow, since earnings are more open to manipulation based on dubious judgment calls.
Earnings’ unreliability is one of the reasons Foolish investors often flip straight past the income statement to check the cash flow statement. In general, by taking a close look at the cash moving in and out of the business, you can better understand whether the last batch of earnings brought money into the company, or merely disguised a cash gusher with a pretty headline.
Calling all cash flows
When you are trying to buy the market’s best stocks, it’s worth checking up on your companies’ free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That’s what we do with this series. Today, we’re checking in on Dun & Bradstreet (NYSE: DNB ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.
5 Best Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: Authentidate Holding Corp.(ADAT)
Authentidate Holding Corp. provides secure Web-based software applications and telehealth products and services in the United States. It offers Inscrybe Healthcare, a Web-based health information exchange and workflow automation solution that enables healthcare industry participants to exchange and track a range of documents, certificates, authorizations, and other information over various modes of communication, including electronic and fax delivery; Inscrybe Office, a Web-based service to sign, seal, and confirm receipt of important documents; and AuthentiProof, a content integrity and time-and-date stamp application. The company also provides the in-home ExpressMD solution, which integrates Electronic House Call in-home patient vital signs monitoring system with a software interface based on the Inscrybe Healthcare platform. It serves integrated delivery networks, physician groups and networks, managed care organizations, hospitals, medical centers, home health agencies , pharmacies, governments, and public health organizations through direct sales and reseller arrangements. The company was formerly known as Bitwise Designs, Inc. and changed its name to Authentidate Holding Corp. in March 2001. Authentidate Holding Corp. was founded in 1985 and is based in Berkeley Heights, New Jersey.
- [By James E. Brumley]
In a perfect world, a stock’s price is merely a reflection of a predictable combination of a company’s history and forward-looking prospects. We don’t live – or trade – in a perfect world though. In the real world, a chart not only tells a story, but illustrates traders’ changing opinion of a stock. The good news is, traders move, thing, buy, and sell in fairly predictable patterns, and when you see certain hints fall in place, you can make a very good trade. Enter Authentidate Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:ADAT) and Greenhunter Resources Inc. (NYSEMKT:GRH). Both GRH as well as ADAT have taken on a bullish shape as of today, and both are apt to be at much higher levels in the foreseeable future.
5 Best Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: Standard Pacific Corp(SPF)
Standard Pacific Corp. operates as a diversified builder of single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. It constructs homes targeting various homebuyers primarily move-up buyers in metropolitan markets in California, Florida, the Carolinas, Texas, Arizona, Colorado, and Nevada. The company also provides mortgage financing services to its homebuyers; and title examination services to its Texas homebuyers. As of December 31, 2011, it owned or controlled 26,444 homesites and had 166 active selling communities. Standard Pacific Corp. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
- [By Louis Navellier]
If we look at those stocks trading with single-digit P/E ratios right now, it becomes a very simple task to separate the wheat from the chaff. There are many well-known stocks trading at low P/E ratios that get horrible grades from our system and should be avoided:
Ryland Homes (RYL) is a name you might hear discussed as a bargain, but the stock to a Sell back in November to a “D” and is best avoided. Standard Pacific (SPF) is another builder you should probably avoid as In spite of the low P/E ratio ,you probably want to avoid discount retailer Big Lots (BIG), as a Strong Sell this week.
But fear not — there are some great companies with solid fundamentals that earn a Buy ranking from Portfolio Grader and are better candidates for a low-P/E portfolio.
- [By Erika Janowicz]
Compass Point analyst Wilkes Graham updated his housing forecast:
Graham increased assumed ROI’s to 9% on average from 7%. Reduced targeted sector price/ book from $190% to 170%. Expects 20-30% growth in starts and new home sales in 2012 and 2013 to stabilize in 2014 and on at approximately 10%. For covered builders, the analyst lowered estimates by 8% and lowered price targets by 10%. Compass Point expects 10% annual growth in single family starts and new home sales and 2-5% pricing growth. Downgraded DR Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI) from Buy to Neutral and KB Home (NYSE: KBH) from Neutral to Sell. DR Horton’s and KB Home’s PT was lowered from $23.50 to $20.00 and from $17.50 to $14.00, respectively. Graham reiterated a Buy rating on Ryland Group Inc. (NYSE: RYL) and Standard Pacific Corp. (NYSE: SPF). The analyst raised the PT on Ryland from $50.00 to $50.50 and lowered the PT on Standard Pacific from $10.00 to $9.50. Compass Point reiterated a Neutral rating on Beazer Homes USA Inc. (NYSE: BZH), Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: HOV), Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN), PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: PHM), and Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL). The price target for Beazer and Hovnanian was raised from $15.50 to $24.00 and $5.00 to $5.75, respectively. Graham lowered the PT for Lennar, Pulte, and Toll to $34.50, $17.00, and $31.00.
This Week’s Data
- [By Sally Jones]
Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF): Reduced
Up 19% over 12 months, Standard Pacific Corp., a residential construction company, has a market cap of $2.27 billion. The current share price is around $8.18. Shares trade at a P/E of 5.70. The company does not pay a dividend.
5 Best Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: ALCO Stores Inc (ALCS)
Alco Stores, Inc., incorporated on June 2, 1915, is engaged in the business of retailing general merchandise throughout the central portion of the United States of America through a range of department store outlets. The Company’s ALCO stores offer a range of merchandise consisting of approximately 35,000 items, including automotive, commodities, crafts, domestics, electronics, furniture, hardware, health and beauty aids, housewares, jewelry, ladies’, men’s and children’s apparel and shoes, pre-recorded music and video, sporting goods, seasonal items, stationery and toys.
As of February 3, 2013, the Company operated 217 stores in 23 states located in mostly smaller communities in the central United States. The stores average approximately 21,000 square feet of selling space, with an additional 5,000 square feet utilized for merchandise processing, temporary storage and administration.
- [By Monica Gerson]
ALCO Stores (NASDAQ: ALCS) is projected to post its Q2 earnings.
Digital Cinema Destinations (NASDAQ: DCIN) is estimated to post a Q4 loss at $0.11 per share on revenue of $11.17 million.
5 Best Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: Phillips 66 Partners LP (PSXP)
Phillips 66 Partners LP, incorporated on February 20, 2013, owns, operates, develops and acquires primarily fee-based crude oil, refined petroleum product and natural gas liquids (NGL) pipelines and terminals and other transportation and midstream assets. The Company’s initial assets consist of the three systems, which include Clifton Ridge crude system, Sweeny to Pasadena products system and Hartford Connector products system. A refined petroleum product pipeline, terminal and storage system extending from Phillips 66’s Sweeny refinery in Old Ocean, Texas, to its refined petroleum product terminal in Pasadena, Texas, and ultimately connecting to the Explorer and Colonial refined petroleum product pipeline systems and other third-party pipeline and terminal systems.
A crude oil pipeline, terminal and storage system located in Sulphur, Louisiana, that is the primary source for delivery of crude oil to Phillips 66’s Lake Charles refinery. A refined petrol eum product pipeline, terminal and storage system located in Hartford, Illinois, that distributes diesel and gasoline produced at the Wood River refinery (a refinery owned by a joint venture between Phillips 66 and Cenovus Energy Inc.) to third-party pipeline and terminal systems, including the Explorer refined petroleum product pipeline system.
- [By Robert Rapier]
Consider Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE: PSXP), which owns some of the midstream logistics assets of its sponsor, the refiner Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX). Ordinarily we might consider such a midstream MLP to be a fairly conservative investment, but PSXP exploded out of the gate after its IPO and has continued to be one of the most lucrative MLPs since its IPO. In just the first half of this year, the unit price rose 110%. As the unit price rose and the yield continued to shrink, price targets were raised again and again by brokerage houses.
- [By Robert Rapier]
Likewise, Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE: PSXP) has risen 154% since its IPO just under a year ago, pushing the yield down to 1.45%. So why do investors keep bidding the price higher with the yield so low? Because they have very aggressive expectations of how the partnership will grow its distribution. Anything that falls short of those aggressive expectations could result in a sharp pullback in the unit price.
- [By Robert Rapier]
The top performing MLP of the first half was Emerge Energy Services (NYSE: EMES), a supplier of sand used in hydraulic fracking (+146 percent). The second leading gainer with a gain of 110 percent was Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE: PSXP), which IPO’d a year ago and consists of midstream assets dropped down from its sponsor, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX).
- [By Robert Rapier]
Refiners that have spun off midstream assets have done very well over the past years. Valero Energy Partners (NYSE: VLP) is up nearly 60 percent since its December IPO, Phillips 66 Partners (NYSE: PSXP) has more than doubled since its July IPO (and is the biggest gainer among MLPs year-to-date), and MPLX (NYSE: MPLX) — formed from Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) — is up 110 percent since its November 2012 IPO.
5 Best Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: Silicon Image Inc.(SIMG)
Silicon Image, Inc. provides wireless and wired high-definition (HD) connectivity solutions that enable the distribution and presentation of HD content for consumer electronics, mobile, and personal computer (PC) markets. It delivers its technology via semiconductor and intellectual property products. The company?s consumer electronics products include high-definition multimedia interface (HDMI) port processors, HDMI and mobile high-definition link (MHL) transmitters, MHL-to-HDMI bridges, and HDMI receiver products; PC products comprise MHL/HDMI-to-HDMI bridges and digital visual interface receivers; and storage products consist of a line of serial advanced technology attachment controllers used in PC, DVR, and network attached storage applications. Its products are deployed by the electronics manufacturers in various devices, such as desktop and notebook PCs, DTVs, Blu-ray disc players, and audio-video receivers, as well as mobile phones, tablets, and digital cameras. The company, through its subsidiaries, provides manufacturers comprehensive standards interoperability and compliance testing services; and acts as an agent for promoting and administering HDMI and MHL specifications, and for licensing the serial port memory technology memory interface specification. It sells its products to original product manufacturers worldwide through direct sales force, as well as through a network of distributors and manufacturer?s representatives. The company has operations in the United States, Taiwan, Japan, China, and Korea, as well as Europe and internationally. Silicon Image, Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
- [By Anna Prior]
Silicon Image Inc.(SIMG) cut its revenue outlook for the second quarter amid lower-than-expected shipments to a significant customer and a delay of certain expected royalty revenue. Shares fell 10% to $4.49 in recent premarket trading.
- [By Jake L’Ecuyer]
Technology shares dropped by 0.14 percent in the US market today. Among the sector stocks, Liquidity Services (NASDAQ: LQDT) was down more than 11.2 percent, while Silicon Image (NASDAQ: SIMG) tumbled around 6.7 percent.
- [By Bryan Murphy]
Quick – what do Simon Property Group Inc. (NYSE:SPG), Dr. Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (NYSE:DPS), and Silicon Image, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIMG) have in common? If you said absolutely nothing, you’d be about 99% right. There’s one common thing between SIMG, SPG, and DPS right now, however. What’s that? All three stocks are on my personal “buy” list this week.
- [By Roberto Pedone]
The exact same setup is shaping up in shares of small-cap semiconductor firm Silicon Image (SIMG). Like HCP, this firm is stuck trading in a downtrending channel. Unlike HCP, trendline resistance is a whole lot stronger in this stock. Shares have gotten swatted down on each of the last eight attempts through that ceiling; with shares at resistance again, the high-probability move is to the downside.
Again, relative strength has been terrible since the summer; SIMG is underperforming the S&P by a considerable margin. Downtrending relative strength is a cardinal sin for stocks, so with shares sitting at resistance, now’s a stellar place to be a seller. While support has been pretty strong along the way down, SIMG’s previous penetrations through S1 should be a big red flag that buyers are skittish.
SIMG is in a textbook downtrend right now. Don’t get caught on the wrong side of the trade.