Getty Images You’ve probably been seeing headlines about yet another financial crash on the horizon. It’s true, the International Monetary Fund has released grim projections for the immediate future of world finance. Why? Well, it’s complicated. Basically, the forces which were put in place to fix the last recession may just have caused another bubble in another sector. The 2008 Recession The last bubble and subsequent recession were caused when Wall Street took on huge amounts of cheap debt. This debt, as it was repaid, was meant to pay off many times over. But the reality of the situation was much different. In many cases, the debt was put on the back of private individuals who couldn’t handle it, who shouldn’t have been offered a loan in the first place. They defaulted en masse and — among many other factors — it caused the bubble to pop. Debt is only worth something if it gets paid back, plus interest. In 2008 the whole house of cards collapsed. Massive firms like Lehman Brothers went under and a lot of money just disappeared. The ‘Brittle’ 2015 Global Market Things are different this time around and Wall Street isn’t on the hook. In an attempt to stabilize global markets following the last recession, borrowing has been made extremely cheap in developed economies like the United States. Economists thought this would shock the heartbeat of the pre-Crash economy back to life, but the U.S. was never able to wean borrowers off of ultra low rates. Investors of all sizes have been snapping up this cheap debt for several years now, causing many to worry that these are exactly the same conditions that caused the 2008 crash. There are other global factors which make this scenario different from that of 2008. This time, Wall Street isn’t the one holding all of this cheap debt. This time it’s spread all around the world, in companies, private investors and world governments. Many of the nations involved are so-called “developing” economies, which have been using cheap borrowing to fund expansion. What Does This Mean for You?
5 Best Cheap Stocks To Own For 2016: International Business Machines Corporation(IBM)
International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) provides information technology (IT) products and services worldwide. Its Global Technology Services segment provides IT infrastructure and business process services, including strategic outsourcing, process, integrated technology, and maintenance services, as well as technology-based support services. The company?s Global Business Services segment offers consulting and systems integration, and application management services. Its Software segment offers middleware and operating systems software, such as WebSphere software to integrate and manage business processes; information management software for database and enterprise content management, information integration, data warehousing, business analytics and intelligence, performance management, and predictive analytics; Tivoli software for identity management, data security, storage management, and datacenter automation; Lotus software for collaboration, messaging, and so cial networking; rational software to support software development for IT and embedded systems; business intelligence software, which provides querying and forecasting tools; SPSS predictive analytics software to predict outcomes and act on that insight; and operating systems software. Its Systems and Technology segment provides computing and storage solutions, including servers, disk and tape storage systems and software, point-of-sale retail systems, and microelectronics. The company?s Global Financing segment provides lease and loan financing to end users and internal clients; commercial financing to dealers and remarketers of IT products; and remanufacturing and remarketing services. It serves financial services, public, industrial, distribution, communications, and general business sectors. The company was formerly known as Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co. and changed its name to International Business Machines Corporation in 1924. IBM was founded in 1910 and is base d in Armonk, New York.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Lost amid all the talk of a new Glass-Steagall in the Republican platform is the fact that the party also wants to make it easier for companies like International Business Machines (IBM), Pfizer (PFE), Dow Chemical (DOW), Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Merck (MRK) to repatriate their foreign profits. Strategas Research Partners’ Daniel Clifton and team discuss:
- [By Beth Piskora]
They are listed below:
Altera (ALTR)yielding 1.7%
Apple (AAPL)yielding 2.5%
Applied Materials (AMAT)yielding 2.6%
Cisco (CSCO)yielding 2.9%
EMC Corp. (EMC)yielding 1.5%
International Business Machines (IBM)yielding 2.0%
KLA-Tencor (KLAC)yielding 3.2%
Microchip Technology (MCHP)yielding 3.6%
Oracle (ORCL)yielding 1.5%
Qualcomm (QCOM)yielding 2.1%
Texas Instruments (TXN)yielding 2.9%
Xilinx (XLNX)yielding 2.3%
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5 Best Cheap Stocks To Own For 2016: Compass Minerals Intl Inc(CMP)
Compass Minerals International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces and markets inorganic mineral products primarily in North America and the United Kingdom. The company operates in two segments, Salt and Specialty Fertilizer. The Salt segment produces salt and magnesium chloride for use in road deicing and dust control, food processing, water softeners, pool salt, and agricultural and industrial applications. This segment also purchases potassium chloride and sells as a finished product. The Specialty Fertilizer segment produces and markets sulphate of potash crop nutrients and industrial grade sulfate of potash for use in the production of specialty fertilizers for vegetables, fruits, potatoes, nuts, tobacco, and turf grass. The company also produces and markets consumer deicing and water conditioning products, ingredients used in consumer and commercial food preparation, and other mineral-based products for consumer, agricultural, and industrial applications. In ad dition, Compass Minerals provides records management services to businesses located in the U.K. The company operates rock salt mines in Goderich, Ontario, Canada; and Winsford, Chesire, the United Kingdom. It primarily serves producers of intermediate chemical products used in the production of vinyls and other chemicals, and pulp and paper, as well as water treatment and other industrial uses. The company markets its products through direct sales personnel, contract personnel, and a network of brokers or manufacturers? representatives. Compass Minerals International, Inc., formerly known as Salt Holdings Corporation, was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Overland Park, Kansas.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Compass Minerals International, Inc. (NYSE: CMP) is projected to post its quarterly earnings at $1.33 per share on revenue of $347.03 million.
MKS Instruments, Inc. (NASDAQ: MKSI) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.33 per share on revenue of $177.19 million.
Top Media Stocks For 2016: Kohl’s Corporation(KSS)
Kohl?s Corporation operates department stores in the United States. The company?s stores offer private and exclusive, as well as national branded apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and children; soft home products, such as sheets and pillows; and housewares primarily to middle-income customers. As of January 29, 2011, it operated 1,089 stores in 49 states. The company also offers on-line shopping on its Web site at Kohls.com. Kohl?s Corporation was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
There’s been a lot of hand wringing about the dismal performance of department stores like Kohl’s (KSS), Macy’s (M), TJX Cos. (TJX), and Sears Holdings (SHLD) and what it says about the state of consumer spending. Yardeni Research’s Ed Yardeni argues that U.S. consumers are shopping, but that “Amazon (AMZN) is taking all the fun, and some of the profits, out of retailing…” He explains:
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Credit Suisse analysts Michael Exstein and Anjani Vedula call Kohl’s (KSS) the “canary in the coal mine” for mall retailers. They explain why:
Rarely does a sector see a secular shift as dramatic as the one now occurring in retail in general and the mall anchors specifically. After last year’s poor operating and stock performance, many retail investors are now expecting a significant cyclical recovery in margins. However, we do not think this is a realistic expectation because mall anchors’ expense structures have fundamentally changed for two reasons: 1) sales mix has shifted towards the lower margin e-commerce channel; 2) brick & mortar operating margins are increasingly pressured (on both an absolute dollar basis as well as % of sales basis), leading to lower operating margins in aggregate.
Using Kohl’s 10-K disclosure to illustrate this shift. We illustrate this secular shift in mall anchors’ expense structures by modelling the breakout in operating income for Kohl’s brick & mortar business (B&M) versus their e-commerce business. Kohl’s gives more details on the shift in SG&A than its peers, making it easier to illustrate the pressures the industry is under. In fact, in spite of the pressures, Kohl’s has maintained relatively constant sales as well as gross margins, no small feat considering they are absorbing shipping & handling charges associated with e-commerce. In effect, we are using Kohl’s as the “canary in the coal mine”, as a preview of a larger secular issue facing the mall anchor sector…
While all retailers with an e-commerce business are exposed to these secular changes to some degree, those with a higher e-commerce penetration are more exposed, sooner. On the brick & mortar operations side, those retailers with the lowest wage rates are likely to be most impact by the essentially industry-wide wage increases brought on b
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Shares of Kohl’s (KSS) are getting killed today after the retailer cut its full-year guidance as profit margins shrank. Citigroup’s Paul Lejuez and Tracy Kogan have the details:
Gabe Hernandez/The Monitor/Associated Press
Not unlike its department store peers, Kohl’s had a tough 4Q. Though comps were up slightly (+0.4%), it was below consensus of +1.7% (though inline with our flat forecast) and margins were significantly below plan as the company needed promotions to drive sales. As we indicated in our 1/4/16 report An Object In Motion(Retail Physics Hold True For Holiday), we believe elevated inventories at dept stores will pressure GM in 1Q (and we believe this will hold true for Kohl’s). Given the tough landscape, and with 1,000+ stores across the country, we believe Kohl’s will continue to be challenged to drive sales and earnings higher, despite its many in-store initiatives. We reiterate our Neutral rating…We are lowering our 2015E/2016E from $4.25/$4.29 to $4.00/$3.91. For 2016 we model comps 0-(1)% and op margin of 7.4% (down 80bps). We are lowering our TP from $49 to $46 to reflect our forecast reduction.
Shares of Kohl’s have tumbled 16% to $43.04 at 11:28 a.m. today, while Macy’s (M) has dropped 2.6% to $40.56, and Nordstrom (JWN) has fallen 5.7% to $47.64.
5 Best Cheap Stocks To Own For 2016: Wendy’s/Arby’s Group Inc.(WEN)
The Wendy’s Company operates as a quick-service hamburger company in the United States. The company, through its subsidiary, Wendy’s International, Inc., operates as a franchisor of the Wendy’s restaurant system. As of December 26, 2011, the Wendy’s system comprised approximately 6,500 franchise and company restaurants in the United States and the United States territories, as well as in 26 other countries worldwide. The company was formerly known as Wendy’s/Arby’s Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Wendy’s Company in July 2011. The Wendy’s Company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Wendys Co (NASDAQ: WEN) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.06 per share on revenue of $352.08 million.
Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.14 per share on revenue of $663.74 million.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Upgrades had a big impact on stocks today. Wendy’s (WEN), for instance, gained 4.5% to $8.62 after being upgraded to Buy at Argus, while Cash America (CSH) advanced 3.7% to $44.32 after being upgraded to Market Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities. Walgreen (WAG) proved the big winner in the S&P 500 afterGoldman Sachs called the stock a Conviction Buy.
- [By Michael Flannelly]
Argus Research upgraded fast food restaurant operator The Wendy’s Co (WEN) on Thursday, noting that the company’s store remodeling and new menus should help drive higher sales.
The analysts upgraded WEN from “Hold” to “Buy” and see shares reaching $10. This price target suggests a 21% upside to the stock’s Wednesday closing price of $8.25.
Wendy’s shares were up 24 cents, or 2.91%, during early morning trading on Thursday. The stock is up 54.19% year-to-date.
5 Best Cheap Stocks To Own For 2016: S&P Smallcap 600(PH)
Parker Hannifin Corporation manufactures fluid power systems, electromechanical controls, and related components worldwide. Its Industrial segment offers pneumatic and electromechanical components, and systems; filters, systems, and instruments to monitor and remove contaminants from fuel, air, oil, water, and other liquids and gases; connectors that control, transmit, and contain fluid; hydraulic components and systems for builders and users of industrial and mobile machinery and equipment; critical flow components for process instrumentation, healthcare, and ultra-high-purity applications; and static and dynamic sealing devices. This segment sells its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their replacement markets in the manufacturing, transportation, and processing industries. The company?s Aerospace segment provides flight control systems and components, including hydraulic, electrohydraulic, electric backup hydraulic, electrohydrostatic, and electro -mechanical components for precise control of aircraft rudders, elevators, ailerons, and other aerodynamic control surfaces. It also provides electronics thermal management heat rejection systems, and single-phase and two-phase heat collection systems for radar, ISAR, and power electronics. This segment markets its products primarily to OEMs in the commercial, military, and general aviation markets, as well as to end users. Its Climate and Industrial Controls segment offers systems and components primarily for use in the mobile and stationary refrigeration, and air conditioning industry; and in fluid control applications in various industries, such as processing, fuel dispensing, beverage dispensing, and mobile emissions. This segment serves OEMs and their replacement markets. Parker-Hannifin Corporation markets its products through direct-sales employees, independent distributors, wholesalers, and sales representatives. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered i n Cleveland, Ohio.
- [By Charles Mizrahi, President and CEO, Hampton Investors, Inc.]
Parker Hannifin (PH) generates strong revenue from its aerospace division, while its primary industrial segment is lagging.
Overall, we like the company’s balanced portfolio. PH had solid order rates this past year with backlog of $3.6 billion between its industrial and aerospace segments.